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Why Shanghai Huide Science & TechnologyLtd's (SHSE:603192) Earnings Are Better Than They Seem

Why Shanghai Huide Science & TechnologyLtd's (SHSE:603192) Earnings Are Better Than They Seem

为什么上海汇德科技股份有限公司(SHSE: 603192)的收益比看起来要好
Simply Wall St ·  04/26 19:40

Shareholders appeared to be happy with Shanghai Huide Science & Technology Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603192) solid earnings report last week. According to our analysis of the report, the strong headline profit numbers are supported by strong earnings fundamentals.

股东们似乎对上海汇德科技有限公司感到满意。,有限公司(上海证券交易所股票代码:603192)上周公布了稳健的收益报告。根据我们对报告的分析,强劲的总体利润数字得到了强劲的收益基本面的支持。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:603192 Earnings and Revenue History April 26th 2024
SHSE: 603192 2024 年 4 月 26 日的收益和收入历史记录

Examining Cashflow Against Shanghai Huide Science & TechnologyLtd's Earnings

根据上海汇德科技有限公司的收益研究现金流

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

许多投资者还没有听说过现金流的应计比率,但它实际上是衡量公司在给定时期内自由现金流(FCF)在多大程度上支持利润的有用指标。为了获得应计比率,我们首先从一段时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该期间的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少没有自由现金流的支持。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,负应计比率对公司来说是正数,而正应计比率是负数。虽然正应计比率表明非现金利润达到一定水平不是问题,但高应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明纸面利润与现金流不匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文,“应计额较高的公司将来的利润往往会降低”。

Shanghai Huide Science & TechnologyLtd has an accrual ratio of -0.15 for the year to December 2023. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥193m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥63.9m. Given that Shanghai Huide Science & TechnologyLtd had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of CN¥193m would seem to be a step in the right direction. However, we can see that a recent tax benefit, along with unusual items, have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore its accrual ratio.

截至2023年12月的一年中,上海汇德科技有限公司的应计比率为-0.15。这表明其自由现金流大大超过了其法定利润。实际上,它去年的自由现金流为1.93亿元人民币,远远超过其6,390万元人民币的法定利润。鉴于上海汇德科技有限公司在前一同期的自由现金流为负,过去十二个月的1.93亿元人民币的业绩似乎是朝着正确方向迈出的一步。但是,我们可以看到,最近的税收优惠以及不寻常的项目影响了其法定利润,因此影响了应计比率。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shanghai Huide Science & TechnologyLtd.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对上海汇德科技有限公司的资产负债表分析

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不寻常物品对利润的影响

Shanghai Huide Science & TechnologyLtd's profit was reduced by unusual items worth CN¥11m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. This is what you'd expect to see where a company has a non-cash charge reducing paper profits. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect Shanghai Huide Science & TechnologyLtd to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

在过去的十二个月中,上海汇德科技有限公司的利润因价值1100万元人民币的不寻常物品而减少,这帮助其产生了较高的现金转化率,其不寻常的项目就反映了这一点。这就是你所期望看到的公司的非现金费用会减少纸面利润的情况。尽管由于不寻常项目而产生的扣除首先令人失望,但有一线希望。我们调查了数千家上市公司,发现不寻常的物品本质上往往是一次性的。而且,毕竟,这正是会计术语的含义。假设这些不寻常的支出不会再次出现,因此,我们预计上海汇德科技有限公司在其他条件相同的情况下,明年将实现更高的利润。

An Unusual Tax Situation

不寻常的税收状况

Moving on from the accrual ratio, we note that Shanghai Huide Science & TechnologyLtd profited from a tax benefit which contributed CN¥5.8m to profit. It's always a bit noteworthy when a company is paid by the tax man, rather than paying the tax man. The receipt of a tax benefit is obviously a good thing, on its own. However, our data indicates that tax benefits can temporarily boost statutory profit in the year it is booked, but subsequently profit may fall back. In the likely event the tax benefit is not repeated, we'd expect to see its statutory profit levels drop, at least in the absence of strong growth. While we think it's good that the company has booked a tax benefit, it does mean that there's every chance the statutory profit will come in a lot higher than it would be if the income was adjusted for one-off factors.

从应计比率来看,我们注意到上海汇德科技有限公司从一项税收优惠中获利,该优惠为利润贡献了580万元人民币。当公司由纳税人支付工资而不是向纳税人付款时,总是有点值得注意的。获得税收优惠本身显然是一件好事。但是,我们的数据表明,税收优惠可以暂时增加账面当年的法定利润,但随后利润可能会回落。如果税收优惠可能不重演,我们预计其法定利润水平将下降,至少在没有强劲增长的情况下是如此。尽管我们认为公司获得税收优惠是件好事,但这确实意味着法定利润很有可能远高于根据一次性因素调整收入时的法定利润。

Our Take On Shanghai Huide Science & TechnologyLtd's Profit Performance

我们对上海汇德科技有限公司盈利表现的看法

Summing up, Shanghai Huide Science & TechnologyLtd's accrual ratio and its unusual items suggest that its statutory earnings were temporarily depressed, while its tax benefit is having the opposite effect. Based on these factors, we think Shanghai Huide Science & TechnologyLtd's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Be aware that Shanghai Huide Science & TechnologyLtd is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those is a bit concerning...

总而言之,上海汇德科技有限公司的应计比率及其不寻常的项目表明,其法定收益暂时受到抑制,而其税收优惠却产生了相反的效果。基于这些因素,我们认为上海汇德科技有限公司的盈利潜力至少和看起来一样好,甚至可能更好!考虑到这一点,除非我们对风险有透彻的了解,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。请注意,上海汇德科技有限公司在我们的投资分析中显示了两个警告信号,其中一个有点令人担忧...

After our examination into the nature of Shanghai Huide Science & TechnologyLtd's profit, we've come away optimistic for the company. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

在我们研究了上海汇德科技有限公司利润的性质之后,我们对该公司持乐观态度。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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