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There May Be Some Bright Spots In Zhejiang Hengtong HoldingLtd's (SHSE:600226) Earnings

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 29 18:43

Shareholders appeared unconcerned with Zhejiang Hengtong Holding Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:600226) lackluster earnings report last week. Our analysis suggests that while the profits are soft, the foundations of the business are strong.

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:600226 Earnings and Revenue History April 29th 2024

Zooming In On Zhejiang Hengtong HoldingLtd's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

For the year to March 2024, Zhejiang Hengtong HoldingLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.23. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥437m despite its profit of CN¥185.9m, mentioned above. We also note that Zhejiang Hengtong HoldingLtd's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥437m. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Zhejiang Hengtong HoldingLtd.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Zhejiang Hengtong HoldingLtd's profit suffered from unusual items, which reduced profit by CN¥49m in the last twelve months. If this was a non-cash charge, it would have made the accrual ratio better, if cashflow had stayed strong, so it's not great to see in combination with an uninspiring accrual ratio. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Zhejiang Hengtong HoldingLtd took a rather significant hit from unusual items in the year to March 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items made its statutory profit significantly weaker than it would otherwise be.

Our Take On Zhejiang Hengtong HoldingLtd's Profit Performance

Zhejiang Hengtong HoldingLtd saw unusual items weigh on its profit, which should have made it easier to show high cash conversion, which it did not do, according to its accrual ratio. Based on these factors, we think that Zhejiang Hengtong HoldingLtd's profits are a reasonably conservative guide to its underlying profitability. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 1 warning sign with Zhejiang Hengtong HoldingLtd, and understanding it should be part of your investment process.

Our examination of Zhejiang Hengtong HoldingLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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