share_log

Shanghai Sinyang Semiconductor Materials Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300236) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 29 21:45

Shanghai Sinyang Semiconductor Materials (SZSE:300236) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 17% over the last three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Shanghai Sinyang Semiconductor Materials' ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Sinyang Semiconductor Materials is:

3.7% = CN¥144m ÷ CN¥3.8b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.04 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

Shanghai Sinyang Semiconductor Materials' Earnings Growth And 3.7% ROE

As you can see, Shanghai Sinyang Semiconductor Materials' ROE looks pretty weak. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 5.8%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 11% seen by Shanghai Sinyang Semiconductor Materials was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For example, the business has allocated capital poorly, or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

However, when we compared Shanghai Sinyang Semiconductor Materials' growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 21% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:300236 Past Earnings Growth April 30th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Shanghai Sinyang Semiconductor Materials fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Shanghai Sinyang Semiconductor Materials Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Looking at its three-year median payout ratio of 38% (or a retention ratio of 62%) which is pretty normal, Shanghai Sinyang Semiconductor Materials' declining earnings is rather baffling as one would expect to see a fair bit of growth when a company is retaining a good portion of its profits. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

Moreover, Shanghai Sinyang Semiconductor Materials has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

Summary

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Shanghai Sinyang Semiconductor Materials. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment