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DaTang HuaYin Electric PowerLTD (SHSE:600744) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

DaTang HuaYin Electric PowerLTD (SHSE:600744) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

大唐華銀電力有限公司(上海證券交易所股票代碼:600744)使用債務可能被視爲風險
Simply Wall St ·  04/29 22:26

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, DaTang HuaYin Electric Power CO.,LTD (SHSE:600744) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。重要的是,大唐華銀電力有限公司, LTD(SHSE: 600744)確實有債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

當企業無法輕易履行這些義務時,無論是通過自由現金流還是以誘人的價格籌集資金,債務和其他負債就會面臨風險。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東,這樣才能控制債務。當然,債務的好處是它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它用高回報率進行再投資的能力取代了公司的稀釋時。當我們研究債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

What Is DaTang HuaYin Electric PowerLTD's Net Debt?

大唐華銀電力有限公司的淨負債是多少?

As you can see below, DaTang HuaYin Electric PowerLTD had CN¥16.4b of debt, at March 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥955.9m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥15.5b.

如下所示,截至2024年3月,大唐華銀電力有限公司有164億元人民幣的債務,與前一年大致相同。您可以單擊圖表以獲取更多詳細信息。但是,由於其現金儲備爲9.559億元人民幣,其淨負債較少,約爲155億加元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600744 Debt to Equity History April 30th 2024
SHSE: 600744 2024 年 4 月 30 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

How Healthy Is DaTang HuaYin Electric PowerLTD's Balance Sheet?

大唐華銀電力有限公司的資產負債表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that DaTang HuaYin Electric PowerLTD had liabilities of CN¥8.06b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥14.3b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥955.9m in cash and CN¥1.99b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥19.4b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,大唐華銀電力有限公司的負債爲80.6億元人民幣,12個月內到期的負債爲143億元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有9.559億元的現金和19.9億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總額高出194億元人民幣。

This deficit casts a shadow over the CN¥6.42b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, DaTang HuaYin Electric PowerLTD would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

這一赤字給這家64.2億元人民幣的公司蒙上了陰影,就像一個聳立在凡人之上的巨人。因此,我們絕對認爲股東需要密切關注這個問題。畢竟,如果大唐華銀電力有限公司今天必須向債權人付款,則可能需要進行大規模的資本重組。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

我們使用兩個主要比率來告知我們相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),第二個是其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)覆蓋其利息支出(或簡稱利息保障)的多少倍。這樣,我們既考慮債務的絕對數量,也考慮爲債務支付的利率。

As it happens DaTang HuaYin Electric PowerLTD has a fairly concerning net debt to EBITDA ratio of 10.8 but very strong interest coverage of 1k. This means that unless the company has access to very cheap debt, that interest expense will likely grow in the future. We also note that DaTang HuaYin Electric PowerLTD improved its EBIT from a last year's loss to a positive CN¥337m. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is DaTang HuaYin Electric PowerLTD's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

碰巧的是,大唐華銀電力有限公司的淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比率相當令人擔憂,爲10.8,但利息覆蓋率非常高,爲1k。這意味着,除非公司能夠獲得非常便宜的債務,否則利息支出將來可能會增加。我們還注意到,大唐華銀電力有限公司的息稅前利潤從去年的虧損提高至正3.37億元人民幣。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,影響未來資產負債表狀況的是大唐華銀電力有限公司的收益。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. During the last year, DaTang HuaYin Electric PowerLTD burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤根本無法減少債務。因此,值得檢查一下利息和稅前收益(EBIT)中有多少是由自由現金流支持的。去年,大唐華銀電力有限公司燒掉了大量現金。儘管這可能是增長支出的結果,但它確實使債務風險大大增加。

Our View

我們的觀點

On the face of it, DaTang HuaYin Electric PowerLTD's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at covering its interest expense with its EBIT; that's encouraging. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think DaTang HuaYin Electric PowerLTD has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for DaTang HuaYin Electric PowerLTD you should know about.

從表面上看,大唐華銀電力有限公司將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流使我們對該股持初步看法,其總負債水平並不比一年中最繁忙的夜晚那家空蕩蕩的餐廳更具吸引力。但至少它在用息稅前利潤支付利息支出方面相當不錯;這令人鼓舞。在考慮了所討論的數據點之後,我們認爲大唐華銀電力有限公司的債務太多了。這種風險對某些人來說是可以的,但它肯定無法滿足我們的需求。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都有它們,我們已經發現了你應該知道的大唐華銀電力有限公司的兩個警告標誌。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,通常最好將注意力集中在沒有淨負債的公司身上。您可以訪問我們的此類公司的特別名單(所有公司都有利潤增長記錄)。它是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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