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Earnings Beat: Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery Co., Ltd. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

Earnings Beat: Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery Co., Ltd. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models

收益超预期:上海汉钟精密机械有限公司刚刚超过了分析师的预期,分析师一直在更新他们的模型
Simply Wall St ·  04/30 19:40

As you might know, Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002158) recently reported its first-quarter numbers. It looks to have been a decent result overall - while revenue fell marginally short of analyst estimates at CN¥749m, statutory earnings beat expectations by a notable 12%, coming in at CN¥0.27 per share. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

你可能知道,上海汉钟精密机械有限公司(SZSE:002158)最近公布了其第一季度数据。总体而言,这似乎是一个不错的业绩——虽然收入略低于分析师预期的7.49亿元人民币,但法定收益明显超出预期的12%,为每股0.27加元。对于投资者来说,盈利是一个重要时刻,因为他们可以追踪公司的业绩,查看分析师对明年的预测,看看对公司的情绪是否发生了变化。因此,我们收集了最新的财报后预测,以了解估计对明年的预测。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:002158 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 30th 2024
SZSE: 002158 收益和收入增长 2024 年 4 月 30 日

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery from eight analysts is for revenues of CN¥4.40b in 2024. If met, it would imply a solid 13% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to rise 9.8% to CN¥1.84. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥4.35b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥1.80 in 2024. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

考虑到最新业绩,八位分析师对上海汉钟精密机械的最新共识是,2024年的收入为44.0亿元人民币。如果得到满足,这意味着其收入在过去12个月中稳步增长了13%。预计每股法定收益将增长9.8%,至1.84元人民币。在本报告发布之前,分析师一直在模拟2024年的收入为43.5亿元人民币,每股收益(EPS)为1.80元人民币。鉴于他们的估计没有重大变化,共识分析师似乎没有在这些结果中看到任何会改变他们对业务看法的内容。

There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of CN¥29.06, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥36.00 and the most bearish at CN¥21.90 per share. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.

收入或收益预期或29.06元人民币的目标股价没有变化,这表明该公司在最近的业绩中达到了预期。研究分析师的估计范围,评估异常值与平均值的差异程度也可能很有启发性。对上海汉钟精密机械有一些不同的看法,最看涨的分析师将其估值为36.00元人民币,最看跌的为每股21.90元人民币。这些目标股价表明,分析师对该业务的看法确实有所不同,但这些估计的差异不足以向我们表明,有些人押注取得巨大成功或彻底失败。

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery'shistorical trends, as the 17% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2024 is roughly in line with the 18% annual growth over the past five years. Juxtapose this against our data, which suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 18% per year. So although Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery is expected to maintain its revenue growth rate, it's only growing at about the rate of the wider industry.

从现在的大局来看,我们可以理解这些预测的方法之一是看看它们如何与过去的业绩和行业增长预期相比较。我们可以从最新估计中推断,预测预计上海汉钟精密机械的历史趋势将延续,因为到2024年底的17%的年化收入增长与过去五年18%的年增长率大致一致。将其与我们的数据并列,该数据表明,预计该行业其他公司(有分析师报道)的收入每年将增长18%。因此,尽管预计上海汉钟精密机械将保持其收入增长率,但其增长速度仅与整个行业差不多。

The Bottom Line

底线

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

要了解的最重要的一点是,市场情绪没有重大变化,分析师再次确认该业务的表现与他们先前的每股收益预期一致。他们还重申了收入预期,预计该公司的增长速度将与整个行业大致相同。共识目标股价没有实际变化,这表明该业务的内在价值与最新估计相比没有发生任何重大变化。

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have forecasts for Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

话虽如此,公司收益的长期轨迹比明年重要得多。我们对上海汉钟精密机械有限公司的预测将持续到2026年,您可以在我们的平台上免费查看。

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery that you need to take into consideration.

还值得注意的是,我们发现了上海汉钟精密机械的1个警告信号,你需要考虑。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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