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Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Food Co., Ltd. Recorded A 6.9% Miss On Revenue: Analysts Are Revisiting Their Models

Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Food Co., Ltd. Recorded A 6.9% Miss On Revenue: Analysts Are Revisiting Their Models

郑州千味阳初食品有限公司收入下降6.9%:分析师正在重新审视他们的模型
Simply Wall St ·  04/30 20:16

Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Food Co., Ltd. (SZSE:001215) came out with its first-quarter results last week, and we wanted to see how the business is performing and what industry forecasters think of the company following this report. Results look mixed - while revenue fell marginally short of analyst estimates at CN¥463m, statutory earnings were in line with expectations, at CN¥1.56 per share. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

郑州千味阳初食品有限公司(SZSE:001215)上周公布了第一季度业绩,我们想看看该业务的表现如何,以及行业预测员对该公司的看法。业绩好坏参半——虽然收入略低于分析师预期的4.63亿元人民币,但法定收益符合预期,为每股1.56元人民币。对于投资者来说,盈利是一个重要时刻,因为他们可以追踪公司的业绩,查看分析师对明年的预测,看看对公司的情绪是否发生了变化。因此,我们收集了最新的财报后预测,以了解估计对明年的预测。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:001215 Earnings and Revenue Growth May 1st 2024
SZSE: 001215 收益和收入增长 2024 年 5 月 1 日

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Food from 13 analysts is for revenues of CN¥2.18b in 2024. If met, it would imply a solid 13% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to bounce 57% to CN¥2.19. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of CN¥2.36b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥2.25 in 2024. It's pretty clear that pessimism has reared its head after the latest results, leading to a weaker revenue outlook and a minor downgrade to earnings per share estimates.

考虑到最新业绩,13位分析师对郑州千味阳初食品的最新共识是,2024年的收入为21.8亿元人民币。如果得到满足,这意味着其收入在过去12个月中稳步增长了13%。每股收益预计将反弹57%,至2.19元人民币。然而,在最新财报公布之前,分析师曾预计2024年的收入为23.6亿元人民币,每股收益(EPS)为2.25元人民币。很明显,在最新业绩公布后,悲观情绪已经抬头,导致收入前景疲软,每股收益预期略有下调。

The consensus price target fell 10% to CN¥61.07, with the weaker earnings outlook clearly leading valuation estimates. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. There are some variant perceptions on Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Food, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥81.05 and the most bearish at CN¥42.00 per share. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.

共识目标股价下跌10%,至61.07元人民币,疲软的盈利前景显然领先于估值预期。共识目标股价只是个别分析师目标的平均值,因此——可以很方便地看到基础估计值的范围有多广。对郑州千味阳初食品的看法有所不同,最看涨的分析师将其估值为81.05元人民币,最看跌的为每股42.00元人民币。这是相当广泛的估计,这表明分析师正在预测该业务的各种可能结果。

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Food'shistorical trends, as the 18% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2024 is roughly in line with the 20% annual growth over the past three years. Compare this with the broader industry, which analyst estimates (in aggregate) suggest will see revenues grow 12% annually. So it's pretty clear that Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Food is forecast to grow substantially faster than its industry.

现在从大局来看,我们理解这些预测的方法之一是了解它们与过去的业绩和行业增长估计相比如何。我们可以从最新估计中推断,预测预计郑州千味阳初食品的历史趋势将延续,因为到2024年底的18%的年化收入增长与过去三年20%的年增长大致一致。相比之下,分析师估计(总计),整个行业的收入将每年增长12%。因此,很明显,郑州千味阳初食品的增长速度预计将大大快于其行业。

The Bottom Line

底线

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Food. Regrettably, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, but the latest forecasts still imply the business will grow faster than the wider industry. Furthermore, the analysts also cut their price targets, suggesting that the latest news has led to greater pessimism about the intrinsic value of the business.

最大的担忧是,分析师下调了每股收益预期,这表明郑州千味阳初食品可能会面临业务不利因素。遗憾的是,他们还下调了收入预期,但最新的预测仍然表明该业务的增长速度将超过整个行业。此外,分析师还下调了目标股价,这表明最新消息加剧了人们对业务内在价值的悲观情绪。

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Food going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

话虽如此,公司收益的长期轨迹比明年重要得多。在Simply Wall St,我们有分析师对郑州千味阳初食品到2026年的全方位估计,你可以在我们的平台上免费看到这些估计。

Before you take the next step you should know about the 1 warning sign for Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Food that we have uncovered.

在你采取下一步行动之前,你应该了解一下我们发现的郑州千味阳初食品的1个警告标志。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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