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Is Shanghai Shenda (SHSE:600626) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Shanghai Shenda (SHSE:600626) Using Too Much Debt?

上海申达(SHSE: 600626)是否使用过多的债务?
Simply Wall St ·  04/30 23:54

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Shanghai Shenda Co., Ltd (SHSE:600626) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。重要的是,上海申达股份有限公司(SHSE: 600626)确实有债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务会带来什么风险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

债务可以为企业提供帮助,直到企业难以用新的资本或自由现金流还清债务。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。但是,通过取代稀释,对于需要资金以高回报率投资增长的企业来说,债务可能是一个非常好的工具。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事就是同时考虑其现金和债务。

What Is Shanghai Shenda's Net Debt?

上海申达的净负债是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Shanghai Shenda had debt of CN¥2.90b at the end of March 2024, a reduction from CN¥3.31b over a year. However, it does have CN¥1.37b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥1.53b.

您可以点击下图查看更多详情,该图片显示,截至2024年3月底,上海申达的债务为29.0亿元人民币,较一年内的33.1亿元人民币有所减少。但是,它确实有13.7亿加元的现金抵消了这一点,净负债约为15.3亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600626 Debt to Equity History May 1st 2024
SHSE: 600626 2024 年 5 月 1 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

A Look At Shanghai Shenda's Liabilities

看看上海申达的负债

According to the last reported balance sheet, Shanghai Shenda had liabilities of CN¥4.76b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.87b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.37b and CN¥2.16b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥3.10b.

根据上次报告的资产负债表,上海申达在12个月内到期的负债为47.6亿元人民币,12个月以后到期的负债为18.7亿元人民币。另一方面,它有一年内到期的现金为13.7亿元人民币,还有价值21.6亿元人民币的应收账款。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款总额31.0亿元人民币。

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥3.76b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Shanghai Shenda's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shanghai Shenda will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

相对于其37.6亿元人民币的市值,这一赤字相当可观,因此这确实表明股东应密切关注上海申达的债务使用情况。如果其贷款人要求其支撑资产负债表,股东可能会面临严重的稀释。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为上海申达需要收益来偿还债务。因此,如果你想进一步了解其收益,可能值得看看这张长期收益趋势图。

In the last year Shanghai Shenda wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 4.3%, to CN¥12b. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

去年,上海申达的息税前利润水平没有盈利,但其收入增长了4.3%,达到120亿元人民币。我们通常希望看到无利可图的公司实现更快的增长,但每家公司都有自己的发展。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Shanghai Shenda had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost CN¥53m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥125m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Shanghai Shenda you should be aware of, and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.

重要的是,上海申达去年出现了息税前收益(EBIT)亏损。事实上,它在息税前利润水平上损失了5300万元人民币。当我们审视这一点并回顾其资产负债表上相对于现金的负债时,对我们来说,公司有任何债务似乎是不明智的。因此,我们认为其资产负债表有些紧张,尽管并非无法修复。另一个需要谨慎的原因是,在过去的十二个月中,自由现金流为负1.25亿元人民币。因此,只要说我们确实认为这只股票有风险就足够了。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。一个很好的例子:我们发现了两个你应该注意的上海申达警告标志,其中一个让我们有点不舒服。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有兴趣投资能够在没有债务负担的情况下增加利润的企业,请查看这份资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业的免费清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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