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Chongqing Chuanyi Automation's (SHSE:603100) Profits May Not Reveal Underlying Issues

Chongqing Chuanyi Automation's (SHSE:603100) Profits May Not Reveal Underlying Issues

重庆川一自动化(上海证券交易所代码:603100)的利润可能不会揭示潜在问题
Simply Wall St ·  05/02 18:51

Chongqing Chuanyi Automation Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603100 ) stock didn't jump after it announced some healthy earnings. We think that investors might be worried about some concerning underlying factors.

重庆川易自动化有限公司's(上海证券交易所股票代码:603100)在公布了可观的收益后,该股并未上涨。我们认为,投资者可能会担心一些相关的潜在因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:603100 Earnings and Revenue History May 2nd 2024
SHSE: 603100 收益和收入历史记录 2024 年 5 月 2 日

Examining Cashflow Against Chongqing Chuanyi Automation's Earnings

根据重庆川易自动化的收益检查现金流

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

在高级财务中,用于衡量公司将报告的利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的关键比率是应计比率(来自现金流)。为了获得应计比率,我们首先从一段时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该期间的平均运营资产。该比率向我们显示了公司的利润超过其FCF的程度。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

这意味着负应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明该公司带来的自由现金流超出了其利润所暗示的范围。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,应计比率相当高的地方。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文,“应计额较高的公司未来的利润往往会降低”。

Over the twelve months to March 2024, Chongqing Chuanyi Automation recorded an accrual ratio of 0.21. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥310m in the last year, which was a lot less than its statutory profit of CN¥752.9m. Chongqing Chuanyi Automation shareholders will no doubt be hoping that its free cash flow bounces back next year, since it was down over the last twelve months.

在截至2024年3月的十二个月中,重庆川一自动化的应计比率为0.21。因此,我们知道它的自由现金流大大低于其法定利润,这并不是一件好事。实际上,它去年的自由现金流为3.1亿元人民币,远低于其7.529亿元人民币的法定利润。重庆川一自动化的股东们无疑希望明年其自由现金流能够反弹,因为在过去的十二个月中一直处于下降状态。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让你想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看根据他们的估计描绘未来盈利能力的交互式图表。

Our Take On Chongqing Chuanyi Automation's Profit Performance

我们对重庆川易自动化盈利表现的看法

Chongqing Chuanyi Automation's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Because of this, we think that it may be that Chongqing Chuanyi Automation's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But at least holders can take some solace from the 34% per annum growth in EPS for the last three. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Chongqing Chuanyi Automation (1 is potentially serious) you should be familiar with.

重庆川一自动化过去十二个月的应计比率表明现金转换率不理想,从我们对收益的看法来看,这是负数。正因为如此,我们认为重庆川一自动化的法定利润可能好于其基础盈利能力。但是,至少持有人可以从过去三年的每股收益每年增长34%中得到一些安慰。归根结底,如果你想正确地了解公司,必须考虑的不仅仅是上述因素。考虑到这一点,除非我们对风险有透彻的了解,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。例如,我们已经确定了你应该熟悉的重庆川易自动化的两个警告信号(其中一个可能很严重)。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Chongqing Chuanyi Automation's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

今天,我们放大了单个数据点,以更好地了解重庆川易自动化利润的性质。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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