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Shanghai Rychen Technologies' (SZSE:301273) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Shanghai Rychen Technologies' (SZSE:301273) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

上海瑞成科技(SZSE: 301273)盈利疲软可能只是其问题的开始
Simply Wall St ·  05/03 18:14

Despite Shanghai Rychen Technologies Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301273) recent earnings report having lackluster headline numbers, the market responded positively. While shareholders may be willing to overlook soft profit numbers, we believe that they should also be taking into account some other factors which may be cause for concern.

尽管上海瑞晨科技有限公司's (SZSE: 301273) 最近的财报显示标题数据乏善可陈,市场反应积极。尽管股东可能愿意忽视疲软的利润数字,但我们认为他们还应考虑其他一些可能令人担忧的因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:301273 Earnings and Revenue History May 3rd 2024
SZSE: 301273 收益和收入历史记录 2024 年 5 月 3 日

A Closer Look At Shanghai Rychen Technologies' Earnings

仔细看看上海瑞晨科技的收益

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

许多投资者尚未听说过现金流的应计比率,但它实际上是衡量公司在给定时期内自由现金流(FCF)在多大程度上支持利润的有用指标。简而言之,该比率从净利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该时期公司的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少没有自由现金流的支持。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,当公司的应计比率为负时,这实际上被认为是一件好事,但是如果应计比率为正,则被认为是一件坏事。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,应计比率相当高的地方。那是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计比率往往会导致利润下降或利润增长放缓。

Over the twelve months to March 2024, Shanghai Rychen Technologies recorded an accrual ratio of 0.24. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥129m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥14.1m. We also note that Shanghai Rychen Technologies' free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥129m.

在截至2024年3月的十二个月中,上海瑞晨科技的应计比率为0.24。因此,我们可以推断出其自由现金流远不足以支付其法定利润。在过去的一年里,它实际上有 负面的 自由现金流为1.29亿元人民币,而上述利润为1410万元人民币。我们还注意到,上海瑞晨科技去年的自由现金流实际上也是负的,因此我们可以理解股东是否被其1.29亿元的流出所困扰。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shanghai Rychen Technologies.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对上海瑞晨科技的资产负债表分析。

Our Take On Shanghai Rychen Technologies' Profit Performance

我们对上海瑞晨科技盈利表现的看法

Shanghai Rychen Technologies didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that Shanghai Rychen Technologies' statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Shanghai Rychen Technologies at this point in time. For example, Shanghai Rychen Technologies has 5 warning signs (and 3 which are a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

去年,上海瑞晨科技没有将其大部分利润转化为自由现金流,一些投资者可能认为这种情况相当不理想。因此,我们认为上海瑞晨科技的法定利润可能好于其基础盈利能力。另一个坏消息是,其每股收益在去年有所下降。归根结底,如果你想正确地了解公司,必须考虑的不仅仅是上述因素。因此,尽管收益质量很重要,但考虑上海瑞晨科技目前面临的风险同样重要。例如,上海瑞晨科技有5个警告标志(其中3个有点令人担忧),我们认为你应该知道。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Shanghai Rychen Technologies' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

今天,我们放大了单一数据点,以更好地了解上海瑞晨科技利润的性质。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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