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Investors Shouldn't Be Too Comfortable With Fujian Supertch Advanced MaterialLtd's (SHSE:688398) Earnings

Investors Shouldn't Be Too Comfortable With Fujian Supertch Advanced MaterialLtd's (SHSE:688398) Earnings

投资者不应该对福建超天新材料有限公司(上海证券交易所股票代码:688398)的收益过于满意
Simply Wall St ·  2024/05/04 07:18

Fujian Supertch Advanced Material CO.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:688398) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. Our analysis suggests that this might be because shareholders have noticed some concerning underlying factors.

福建赛普泰新材料有限公司, Ltd. 's(上海证券交易所代码:688398)强劲的收益报告未能推动其股票的市场走势。我们的分析表明,这可能是因为股东已经注意到了一些相关的潜在因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:688398 Earnings and Revenue History May 3rd 2024
SHSE: 688398 收益和收入历史记录 2024 年 5 月 3 日

Zooming In On Fujian Supertch Advanced MaterialLtd's Earnings

放大福建Supertech AdvanceLtd的收益

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

许多投资者尚未听说过现金流的应计比率,但它实际上是衡量公司在给定时期内自由现金流(FCF)在多大程度上支持利润的有用指标。应计比率从给定时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将结果除以该时间内公司的平均运营资产。该比率向我们显示了公司的利润超过其FCF的程度。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

这意味着负应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明该公司带来的自由现金流超出了其利润所暗示的范围。尽管应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们确实认为,当公司的应计比率相对较高时,值得注意。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,总的来说,高应计比率对短期利润来说是个坏兆头。

For the year to December 2023, Fujian Supertch Advanced MaterialLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.33. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow was a lot less than its statutory profit, which makes us doubt the utility of profit as a guide. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥189m despite its profit of CN¥106.1m, mentioned above. We also note that Fujian Supertch Advanced MaterialLtd's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥189m.

在截至2023年12月的一年中,福建赛普泰新材料有限公司的应计比率为0.33。不幸的是,这意味着其自由现金流远少于其法定利润,这使我们怀疑利润作为指导的效用。在过去的十二个月里,它实际上有 负面的 自由现金流,尽管利润为1.061亿元人民币,但流出量仍为1.89亿元人民币,如上所述。我们还注意到,福建Supertch AdvancealLTD去年的自由现金流实际上也是负数,因此我们可以理解股东是否因其1.89亿元人民币的流出而感到困扰。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让你想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看根据他们的估计描绘未来盈利能力的交互式图表。

Our Take On Fujian Supertch Advanced MaterialLtd's Profit Performance

我们对福建超天新材料有限公司盈利表现的看法

As we discussed above, we think Fujian Supertch Advanced MaterialLtd's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. For this reason, we think that Fujian Supertch Advanced MaterialLtd's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. But at least holders can take some solace from the 8.2% per annum growth in EPS for the last three. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example - Fujian Supertch Advanced MaterialLtd has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

正如我们上面讨论的那样,我们认为福建Supertch AdvancealLTD的收益没有得到自由现金流的支持,这可能会让一些投资者感到担忧。出于这个原因,我们认为福建Supertch Advanced MaterialLTD的法定利润可能不利于其潜在盈利能力,并可能使投资者对该公司产生过于积极的印象。但是,至少持有人可以从过去三年的每股收益每年增长8.2%中得到一些安慰。当然,我们只是在分析其收益时才浮出水面;人们还可以考虑利润率、预测增长和投资回报率等因素。考虑到这一点,除非我们对风险有透彻的了解,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。例如,福建 Supertch Advanced MaterialLTD 有 1 个我们认为你应该注意的警告标志。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Fujian Supertch Advanced MaterialLtd's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

这份报告只考虑了揭示福建Supertch AdvanceallLTD利润性质的单一因素。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。因此,你可能希望看到这份免费收藏的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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