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Investors Shouldn't Be Too Comfortable With Fujian Supertch Advanced MaterialLtd's (SHSE:688398) Earnings

投資家は福建省スーパーテック先進材料株式会社(SHSE:688398)の利益に対してあまり快適に感じるべきではありません。

Simply Wall St ·  05/03 19:18

Fujian Supertch Advanced Material CO.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:688398) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. Our analysis suggests that this might be because shareholders have noticed some concerning underlying factors.

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:688398 Earnings and Revenue History May 3rd 2024

Zooming In On Fujian Supertch Advanced MaterialLtd's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

For the year to December 2023, Fujian Supertch Advanced MaterialLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.33. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow was a lot less than its statutory profit, which makes us doubt the utility of profit as a guide. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥189m despite its profit of CN¥106.1m, mentioned above. We also note that Fujian Supertch Advanced MaterialLtd's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥189m.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Fujian Supertch Advanced MaterialLtd's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, we think Fujian Supertch Advanced MaterialLtd's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. For this reason, we think that Fujian Supertch Advanced MaterialLtd's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. But at least holders can take some solace from the 8.2% per annum growth in EPS for the last three. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example - Fujian Supertch Advanced MaterialLtd has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Fujian Supertch Advanced MaterialLtd's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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