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San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd (SZSE:001317) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues

San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd (SZSE:001317) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues

三洋馬(重慶)物流有限公司(深圳證券交易所:001317)的強勁利潤可能掩蓋了一些潛在問題
Simply Wall St ·  05/04 20:28

The recent earnings posted by San Yang Ma (Chongqing) Logistics Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:001317) were solid, but the stock didn't move as much as we expected. We believe that shareholders have noticed some concerning factors beyond the statutory profit numbers.

三洋馬(重慶)物流有限公司最近公佈的業績, Ltd.(深圳證券交易所:001317)表現穩定,但該股的波動幅度沒有我們預期的那麼大。我們認爲,股東們已經注意到法定利潤數字之外的一些令人擔憂的因素。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:001317 Earnings and Revenue History May 5th 2024
SZSE: 001317 收益和收入歷史記錄 2024 年 5 月 5 日

Examining Cashflow Against San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd's Earnings

根據三洋馬(重慶)物流有限公司的收益檢查現金流

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

用於衡量公司將其利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的情況的一個關鍵財務比率是應計比率。簡而言之,該比率從淨利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該時期公司的平均運營資產。該比率向我們顯示了公司的利潤超過其FCF的程度。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,當公司的應計比率爲負時,這實際上被認爲是一件好事,但如果其應計比率爲正,則是一件壞事。雖然正應計比率表明非現金利潤達到一定水平不是問題,但高應計比率可以說是一件壞事,因爲它表明紙面利潤與現金流不匹配。值得注意的是,有一些學術證據表明,總的來說,高應計率對短期利潤來說是個壞兆頭。

Over the twelve months to March 2024, San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd recorded an accrual ratio of 0.21. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥152m despite its profit of CN¥18.6m, mentioned above. We also note that San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥152m. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

在截至2024年3月的十二個月中,三洋馬(重慶)物流有限公司的應計比率爲0.21。因此,我們可以推斷出其自由現金流遠不足以支付其法定利潤。在過去的十二個月裏,它實際上有 負面的 自由現金流,儘管利潤爲1,860萬元人民幣,但流出量仍爲1.52億元人民幣,如上所述。我們還注意到,三洋馬(重慶)物流有限公司去年的自由現金流實際上也爲負數,因此我們可以理解股東是否被其1.52億元人民幣的流出所困擾。但是,這還不是要考慮的全部。應計比率至少部分反映了不尋常項目對法定利潤的影響。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd.

注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的實力。點擊此處查看我們對三洋馬(重慶)物流有限公司的資產負債表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不尋常的物品如何影響利潤?

The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥2.0m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. If San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

該公司去年有不尋常的項目將利潤提高了200萬元人民幣,這一事實可能在某種程度上可以解釋其應計比率爲何如此疲軟。雖然獲得更高的利潤總是件好事,但來自不尋常物品的巨額捐款有時會抑制我們的熱情。當我們分析全球絕大多數上市公司時,我們發現重大不尋常的事項往往不會重演。考慮到這個名字,這並不奇怪。如果三洋馬(重慶)物流有限公司不認爲這種捐款會重演,那麼在其他條件相同的情況下,我們預計其本年度的利潤將下降。

Our Take On San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd's Profit Performance

我們對三洋馬(重慶)物流有限公司盈利表現的看法

Summing up, San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. At Simply Wall St, we found 2 warning signs for San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd and we think they deserve your attention.

總而言之,三洋馬(重慶)物流有限公司從不尋常的物品中獲得了不錯的利潤提振,但其紙面利潤無法與自由現金流相提並論。出於上述原因,我們認爲,敷衍地看一眼三陽馬(重慶)物流有限公司的法定利潤,可能會使其看起來比實際水平要好。因此,如果你想更深入地研究這隻股票,那麼考慮它面臨的任何風險至關重要。在Simply Wall St,我們發現了三洋馬(重慶)物流有限公司的兩個警告標誌,我們認爲它們值得你關注。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

在本文中,我們研究了許多可能削弱利潤數字效用的因素,我們對此持謹慎態度。但是,如果你能夠將注意力集中在細節上,總會有更多值得發現的地方。例如,許多人認爲高股本回報率表明商業經濟狀況良好,而另一些人則喜歡 “追隨資金”,尋找內部人士正在購買的股票。儘管可能需要代表你進行一些研究,但你可能會發現這份免費收集的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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