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San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd (SZSE:001317) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues

Simply Wall St ·  May 4 20:28

The recent earnings posted by San Yang Ma (Chongqing) Logistics Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:001317) were solid, but the stock didn't move as much as we expected. We believe that shareholders have noticed some concerning factors beyond the statutory profit numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:001317 Earnings and Revenue History May 5th 2024

Examining Cashflow Against San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Over the twelve months to March 2024, San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd recorded an accrual ratio of 0.21. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥152m despite its profit of CN¥18.6m, mentioned above. We also note that San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥152m. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥2.0m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. If San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

Our Take On San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd's Profit Performance

Summing up, San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. At Simply Wall St, we found 2 warning signs for San Yang Ma (Chongqing) LogisticsLtd and we think they deserve your attention.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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