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There May Be Some Bright Spots In Chengdu Leejun Industrial's (SZSE:002651) Earnings

There May Be Some Bright Spots In Chengdu Leejun Industrial's (SZSE:002651) Earnings

成都利君实业(深圳证券交易所:002651)的收益可能有一些亮点
Simply Wall St ·  05/04 21:31

Soft earnings didn't appear to concern Chengdu Leejun Industrial Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002651) shareholders over the last week. We think that the softer headline numbers might be getting counterbalanced by some positive underlying factors.

成都利君实业有限公司似乎并不关心软收益。”s(深圳证券交易所:002651)股东上周的走势。我们认为,较疲软的标题数字可能会被一些积极的潜在因素所抵消。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:002651 Earnings and Revenue History May 5th 2024
SZSE: 002651 收益和收入历史记录 2024 年 5 月 5 日

A Closer Look At Chengdu Leejun Industrial's Earnings

仔细看看成都利君实业的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

在高金融领域,用于衡量公司将申报的利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的效果的关键比率是应计比率(来自现金流)。简而言之,该比率从净利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以公司在此期间的平均运营资产。你可以将现金流的应计比率视为 “非FCF利润率”。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

这意味着负应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明该公司带来的自由现金流超过了其利润所暗示的水平。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,应计比率相当高的地方。那是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计比率往往会导致利润下降或利润增长减少。

For the year to March 2024, Chengdu Leejun Industrial had an accrual ratio of -0.13. That implies it has good cash conversion, and implies that its free cash flow solidly exceeded its profit last year. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥277m, well over the CN¥99.2m it reported in profit. Chengdu Leejun Industrial shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

截至2024年3月的一年中,成都利君实业的应计率为-0.13。这意味着它具有良好的现金转化率,也意味着其去年的自由现金流稳步超过了利润。事实上,在过去的十二个月中,它报告的自由现金流为2.77亿元人民币,远远超过其报告的利润992万元人民币。毫无疑问,成都利君实业的股东对过去十二个月自由现金流的改善感到高兴。话虽如此,故事还有更多。我们可以看到,不寻常的项目影响了其法定利润,从而影响了应计比率。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Chengdu Leejun Industrial.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对成都利君实业的资产负债表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不寻常的物品如何影响利润?

Chengdu Leejun Industrial's profit was reduced by unusual items worth CN¥103m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. In a scenario where those unusual items included non-cash charges, we'd expect to see a strong accrual ratio, which is exactly what has happened in this case. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. In the twelve months to March 2024, Chengdu Leejun Industrial had a big unusual items expense. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items made its statutory profit significantly weaker than it would otherwise be.

在过去的十二个月中,成都利君实业的利润因价值1.03亿元人民币的不寻常物品而减少,这帮助其产生了较高的现金转化率,其不寻常的项目就反映了这一点。在这些不寻常的项目包括非现金费用的情况下,我们预计会看到强劲的应计比率,而这正是本案中发生的情况。尽管由于不寻常项目而产生的扣除首先令人失望,但有一线希望。我们调查了数千家上市公司,发现不寻常的物品本质上往往是一次性的。而且,毕竟,这正是会计术语的含义。在截至2024年3月的十二个月中,成都利君实业有一笔不寻常的巨额物品支出。因此,我们可以推测,这些不寻常的物品使其法定利润明显低于原来的水平。

Our Take On Chengdu Leejun Industrial's Profit Performance

我们对成都利君实业盈利表现的看法

Considering both Chengdu Leejun Industrial's accrual ratio and its unusual items, we think its statutory earnings are unlikely to exaggerate the company's underlying earnings power. After considering all this, we reckon Chengdu Leejun Industrial's statutory profit probably understates its earnings potential! So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. While conducting our analysis, we found that Chengdu Leejun Industrial has 3 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore these.

考虑到成都利君实业的应计比率及其不寻常的项目,我们认为其法定收益不太可能夸大公司的基础盈利能力。在考虑了所有这些之后,我们认为成都利君实业的法定利润可能低估了其盈利潜力!因此,如果你想更深入地研究这只股票,那么考虑它面临的任何风险至关重要。在进行分析时,我们发现成都利君实业有3个警告信号,忽视这些信号是不明智的。

After our examination into the nature of Chengdu Leejun Industrial's profit, we've come away optimistic for the company. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

在我们研究了成都利君实业的利润性质之后,我们对该公司持乐观态度。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。因此,你可能希望看到这份免费收藏的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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