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Jiangsu Liba Enterprise's (SHSE:603519) Problems Go Beyond Weak Profit

江蘇省Liba Enterpriseの(SHSE:603519)問題は、利益が低い以外にも深刻です。

Simply Wall St ·  05/05 20:29

Jiangsu Liba Enterprise Joint-Stock Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603519) recent weak earnings report didn't cause a big stock movement. However, we believe that investors should be aware of some underlying factors which may be of concern.

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:603519 Earnings and Revenue History May 6th 2024

A Closer Look At Jiangsu Liba Enterprise's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

For the year to March 2024, Jiangsu Liba Enterprise had an accrual ratio of 0.37. Ergo, its free cash flow is significantly weaker than its profit. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥80m in the last year, which was a lot less than its statutory profit of CN¥428.9m. Jiangsu Liba Enterprise's free cash flow actually declined over the last year, but it may bounce back next year, since free cash flow is often more volatile than accounting profits.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Jiangsu Liba Enterprise.

Our Take On Jiangsu Liba Enterprise's Profit Performance

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Jiangsu Liba Enterprise didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Jiangsu Liba Enterprise's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. When we did our research, we found 3 warning signs for Jiangsu Liba Enterprise (1 is concerning!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Jiangsu Liba Enterprise's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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