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We Think Jiayou International LogisticsLtd (SHSE:603871) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Jiayou International LogisticsLtd (SHSE:603871) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認爲佳友國際物流有限公司(上海證券交易所代碼:603871)可以繼續償還債務
Simply Wall St ·  05/06 18:55

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Jiayou International Logistics Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603871) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

有人說,波動性,而不是債務,是投資者思考風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。重要的是,佳友國際物流有限公司, Ltd(SHSE: 603871)確實有債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。資本主義的組成部分是 “創造性破壞” 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它以高回報率進行再投資的能力取代公司的稀釋時。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起考慮。

What Is Jiayou International LogisticsLtd's Debt?

佳友國際物流有限公司的債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Jiayou International LogisticsLtd had debt of CN¥126.3m, up from none in one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥1.71b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.58b net cash position.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2024年3月,佳友國際物流有限公司的債務爲1.263億元人民幣,高於一年內的零債務。但另一方面,它也有17.1億元人民幣的現金,淨現金狀況爲15.8億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:603871 Debt to Equity History May 6th 2024
SHSE: 603871 債券與股本的比率記錄 2024 年 5 月 6 日

How Strong Is Jiayou International LogisticsLtd's Balance Sheet?

佳友國際物流有限公司的資產負債表有多強?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Jiayou International LogisticsLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.48b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥48.2m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.71b and CN¥534.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥709.2m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,佳友國際物流有限公司的負債爲14.8億元人民幣,一年後到期的負債爲4,820萬元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的17.1億元現金和價值5.345億元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,它擁有的流動資產可以多出7.092億元人民幣 負債。

This surplus suggests that Jiayou International LogisticsLtd has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Jiayou International LogisticsLtd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

這種盈餘表明,佳友國際物流有限公司的資產負債表比較保守,可以毫不費力地消除債務。簡而言之,佳友國際物流有限公司擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

In addition to that, we're happy to report that Jiayou International LogisticsLtd has boosted its EBIT by 47%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Jiayou International LogisticsLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

除此之外,我們很高興地向大家報告,佳友國際物流有限公司已將其息稅前利潤提高了47%,從而減少了對未來債務償還的擔憂。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,未來的收益比什麼都重要,將決定佳友國際物流有限公司未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Jiayou International LogisticsLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Jiayou International LogisticsLtd reported free cash flow worth 17% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤根本無法減少債務。Jiayou International LogisticsLtd的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但看看該企業如何將其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理能力。在過去的三年中,佳友國際物流有限公司報告的自由現金流佔其息稅前利潤的17%,確實很低。這種低迷的現金轉換水平削弱了其管理和償還債務的能力。

Summing Up

總結

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Jiayou International LogisticsLtd has CN¥1.58b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And we liked the look of last year's 47% year-on-year EBIT growth. So is Jiayou International LogisticsLtd's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Jiayou International LogisticsLtd .

儘管調查公司的債務始終是明智之舉,但在本案中,佳友國際物流有限公司的淨現金爲15.8億元人民幣,資產負債表看起來不錯。我們喜歡去年息稅前利潤同比增長47%的樣子。那麼,佳友國際物流有限公司的債務有風險嗎?在我們看來,情況並非如此。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。爲此,你應該注意我們在佳友國際物流有限公司發現的1個警告標誌。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼請立即查看我們的獨家淨現金增長股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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