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Why Suzhou Huaya Intelligence Technology's (SZSE:003043) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Why Suzhou Huaya Intelligence Technology's (SZSE:003043) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

为什么苏州华亚智能科技(SZSE:003043)的收益不稳定只是其问题的开始
Simply Wall St ·  05/07 18:26

A lackluster earnings announcement from Suzhou Huaya Intelligence Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:003043) last week didn't sink the stock price. Our analysis suggests that along with soft profit numbers, investors should be aware of some other underlying weaknesses in the numbers.

苏州华亚智能科技股份有限公司(SZSE:003043)上周公布的财报乏善可陈,但并未使股价下跌。我们的分析表明,除了疲软的利润数字外,投资者还应意识到这些数字中的其他一些潜在弱点。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:003043 Earnings and Revenue History May 7th 2024
SZSE: 003043 收益和收入历史记录 2024 年 5 月 7 日

A Closer Look At Suzhou Huaya Intelligence Technology's Earnings

仔细看看苏州华亚智能科技的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

在高级财务中,用于衡量公司将报告的利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的关键比率是应计比率(来自现金流)。简而言之,该比率从净利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该时期公司的平均运营资产。该比率向我们显示了公司的利润超过其FCF的程度。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,当公司的应计比率为负时,这实际上被认为是一件好事,但如果其应计比率为正,则是一件坏事。虽然正应计比率表明非现金利润达到一定水平不是问题,但高应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明纸面利润与现金流不匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文,“应计额较高的公司将来的利润往往会降低”。

Suzhou Huaya Intelligence Technology has an accrual ratio of 0.32 for the year to March 2024. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit, suggesting we might want to think twice before putting a lot of weight on the latter. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥82m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥88.9m. We saw that FCF was CN¥5.6m a year ago though, so Suzhou Huaya Intelligence Technology has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past.

截至2024年3月的一年中,苏州华亚智能科技的应计比率为0.32。因此,我们可以推断出其自由现金流远不足以支付其法定利润,这表明在对后者进行大量考虑之前,我们可能需要三思而后行。在过去的一年里,它实际上有 负面的 自由现金流为8.2亿元人民币,而上述利润为8,890万元人民币。但是,我们看到一年前的FCF为560万元人民币,因此苏州华亚智能科技过去至少能够产生正的FCF。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Suzhou Huaya Intelligence Technology.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对苏州华亚智能科技的资产负债表分析。

Our Take On Suzhou Huaya Intelligence Technology's Profit Performance

我们对苏州华亚智能科技盈利表现的看法

As we discussed above, we think Suzhou Huaya Intelligence Technology's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. For this reason, we think that Suzhou Huaya Intelligence Technology's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. Sadly, its EPS was down over the last twelve months. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example, we've found that Suzhou Huaya Intelligence Technology has 2 warning signs (1 is a bit concerning!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

正如我们上面讨论的那样,我们认为苏州华亚智能科技的收益没有得到自由现金流的支持,这可能会让一些投资者感到担忧。出于这个原因,我们认为苏州华亚智能科技的法定利润可能不利于其潜在盈利能力,并可能给投资者留下过于积极的公司印象。不幸的是,在过去的十二个月中,其每股收益有所下降。当然,我们只是在分析其收益时才浮出水面;人们还可以考虑利润率、预测增长和投资回报率等因素。请记住,在分析股票时,值得注意所涉及的风险。例如,我们发现苏州华亚智能科技有 2 个警告标志(1 个有点令人担忧!)在进行进一步分析之前,这值得你注意。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Suzhou Huaya Intelligence Technology's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

今天,我们放大了单个数据点,以更好地了解苏州华亚智能科技利润的性质。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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