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Chimin Health Management Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603222) Stock Rockets 31% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Simply Wall St ·  May 9 18:12

Chimin Health Management Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603222) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 31% gain in the last month alone. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 26% in the last twelve months.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Chimin Health Management is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 5x, considering almost half the companies in China's Pharmaceuticals industry have P/S ratios below 3.6x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603222 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 9th 2024

How Has Chimin Health Management Performed Recently?

Chimin Health Management has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting this decent revenue performance to beat out the industry over the near term, which has kept the P/S propped up. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Chimin Health Management will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

Chimin Health Management's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 17% gain to the company's top line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen the company endure a nasty 9.4% drop in revenue in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 18% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that Chimin Health Management is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Chimin Health Management shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Chimin Health Management currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Chimin Health Management has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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