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Ningbo Ocean Shipping (SHSE:601022) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Ningbo Ocean Shipping (SHSE:601022) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

宁波远洋航运(SHSE: 601022)在使用债务方面承担了一些风险
Simply Wall St ·  05/09 18:43

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Ningbo Ocean Shipping Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601022) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

由伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李露对此毫不掩饰,他说:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。与许多其他公司一样,宁波远洋运输有限公司(SHSE: 601022)也使用债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时危险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

当企业无法通过自由现金流或以诱人的价格筹集资金来轻松履行这些义务时,债务和其他负债就会成为风险。资本主义的组成部分是 “创造性破坏” 过程,在这种过程中,倒闭的企业被银行家无情地清算。尽管这种情况并不常见,但我们经常会看到负债公司永久稀释股东,因为贷款人迫使他们以不良价格筹集资金。但是,通过取代稀释,对于需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业来说,债务可以成为一个非常好的工具。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事是同时考虑其现金和债务。

What Is Ningbo Ocean Shipping's Net Debt?

宁波远洋航运的净负债是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Ningbo Ocean Shipping had CN¥665.7m of debt, an increase on CN¥557.1m, over one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥1.17b in cash, so it actually has CN¥506.2m net cash.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2024年3月,宁波远洋运输在一年内有6.657亿元人民币的债务,比5.571亿加元的债务有所增加。但是,其资产负债表显示其持有11.7亿元人民币的现金,因此实际上拥有5.062亿元人民币的净现金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:601022 Debt to Equity History May 9th 2024
SHSE: 601022 2024 年 5 月 9 日债务与股权比率的历史记录

How Strong Is Ningbo Ocean Shipping's Balance Sheet?

宁波海运的资产负债表有多强?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Ningbo Ocean Shipping had liabilities of CN¥1.39b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥610.7m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.17b in cash and CN¥1.01b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥182.2m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,宁波远洋运输的负债为13.9亿元人民币,之后到期的负债为6.107亿元人民币。与此相抵消的是,它有11.7亿加元的现金和101亿元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它可以拥有比1.822亿元多出1.822亿元人民币的流动资产 负债。

This state of affairs indicates that Ningbo Ocean Shipping's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥13.2b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Simply put, the fact that Ningbo Ocean Shipping has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

这种状况表明,宁波远洋运输的资产负债表看起来相当稳健,因为其总负债几乎等于其流动资产。因此,这家132亿元人民币的公司现金短缺的可能性很小,但仍然值得关注资产负债表。简而言之,宁波远洋航运的现金多于债务这一事实可以说是一个很好的迹象,表明它可以安全地管理债务。

In fact Ningbo Ocean Shipping's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 31% in the last twelve months. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Ningbo Ocean Shipping's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

实际上,宁波海运的救命之处在于其低债务水平,因为其息税前利润在过去十二个月中下降了31%。在还清债务方面,收入下降对健康的作用并不比含糖的苏打水更有用。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,影响未来资产负债表状况的是宁波远洋运输的收益。因此,如果你想进一步了解其收益,可能值得看看这张长期收益趋势图。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Ningbo Ocean Shipping has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Ningbo Ocean Shipping burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

但是我们最终的考虑因素也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。尽管宁波远洋航运的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得一看其将息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度有多快。在过去的三年中,宁波远洋运输消耗了大量现金。尽管这可能是增长支出的结果,但它确实使债务风险大大增加。

Summing Up

总结

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Ningbo Ocean Shipping has CN¥506.2m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So while Ningbo Ocean Shipping does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Ningbo Ocean Shipping (including 1 which is potentially serious) .

尽管调查公司的债务总是明智的,但在这种情况下,宁波远洋运输的净现金为5.062亿元人民币,资产负债表看起来不错。因此,尽管宁波远洋运输的资产负债表不佳,但肯定还不错。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。为此,你应该了解我们在宁波远洋运输中发现的两个警告标志(包括一个可能严重的警告)。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么请立即查看我们的独家净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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