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There's Reason For Concern Over Shenzhen HeungKong Holding Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600162) Massive 26% Price Jump

深セン弘控控股有限公司(SHSE:600162)の株価が26%急騰した理由が心配な理由がある

Simply Wall St ·  05/20 20:52

Shenzhen HeungKong Holding Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600162) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 10% over that time.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Shenzhen HeungKong HoldingLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.3x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Real Estate industry is similar at about 2.1x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600162 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 21st 2024

What Does Shenzhen HeungKong HoldingLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Shenzhen HeungKong HoldingLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shenzhen HeungKong HoldingLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shenzhen HeungKong HoldingLtd?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Shenzhen HeungKong HoldingLtd's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 60%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 55% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 5.5% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Shenzhen HeungKong HoldingLtd's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Shenzhen HeungKong HoldingLtd's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We find it unexpected that Shenzhen HeungKong HoldingLtd trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

Having said that, be aware Shenzhen HeungKong HoldingLtd is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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