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What Hubei W-olf Photoelectric Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002962) 38% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

湖北ウルフフォトン工業株式会社(SZSE:002962)の株価上昇38%があなたに伝えていないこと

Simply Wall St ·  05/20 21:03

Hubei W-olf Photoelectric Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002962) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 38% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 54% in the last year.

After such a large jump in price, Hubei W-olf Photoelectric Technology's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 74x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 32x and even P/E's below 20x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

For instance, Hubei W-olf Photoelectric Technology's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002962 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 21st 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Hubei W-olf Photoelectric Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Hubei W-olf Photoelectric Technology's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Hubei W-olf Photoelectric Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 9.7% decrease to the company's bottom line. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 52% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 38% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's alarming that Hubei W-olf Photoelectric Technology's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

The strong share price surge has got Hubei W-olf Photoelectric Technology's P/E rushing to great heights as well. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Hubei W-olf Photoelectric Technology currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for Hubei W-olf Photoelectric Technology (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Hubei W-olf Photoelectric Technology. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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