Yixin Group Limited (HKG:2858) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month alone. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 6.0% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Yixin Group's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.5x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Hong Kong is similar at about 10x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
Yixin Group certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Yixin Group.
Is There Some Growth For Yixin Group?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Yixin Group's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 49%. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the dual analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 20% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 16% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we find it interesting that Yixin Group is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Final Word
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Yixin Group's P/E is also back up to the market median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Yixin Group currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
Having said that, be aware Yixin Group is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those are concerning.
You might be able to find a better investment than Yixin Group. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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