Despite an already strong run, Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Limited (HKG:2168) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 51% in the last thirty days. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 20% in the last twelve months.
Although its price has surged higher, Kaisa Prosperity Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Real Estate industry in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 0.7x and even P/S above 3x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
How Has Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Performed Recently?
For example, consider that Kaisa Prosperity Holdings' financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as revenue growth is non-existent. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to worsen, which has repressed the P/S. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Kaisa Prosperity Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
How Is Kaisa Prosperity Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Kaisa Prosperity Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. That's essentially a continuation of what we've seen over the last three years, as its revenue growth has been virtually non-existent for that entire period. So it seems apparent to us that the company has struggled to grow revenue meaningfully over that time.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 3.7% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's understandable that Kaisa Prosperity Holdings' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.
What We Can Learn From Kaisa Prosperity Holdings' P/S?
Kaisa Prosperity Holdings' stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Kaisa Prosperity Holdings revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.
Having said that, be aware Kaisa Prosperity Holdings is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those are potentially serious.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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