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Earnings Growth of 1.4% Over 3 Years Hasn't Been Enough to Translate Into Positive Returns for FinVolution Group (NYSE:FINV) Shareholders

Earnings Growth of 1.4% Over 3 Years Hasn't Been Enough to Translate Into Positive Returns for FinVolution Group (NYSE:FINV) Shareholders

3年內1.4%的收益增長不足以轉化爲Finvolution集團(紐約證券交易所代碼:FINV)股東的正回報
Simply Wall St ·  05/21 14:45

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But in any portfolio, there are likely to be some stocks that fall short of that benchmark. We regret to report that long term FinVolution Group (NYSE:FINV) shareholders have had that experience, with the share price dropping 38% in three years, versus a market return of about 21%. On top of that, the share price is down 6.0% in the last week. Importantly, this could be a market reaction to the recently released financial results. You can check out the latest numbers in our company report.

爲了證明選擇個股的努力是合理的,值得努力超過市場指數基金的回報。但是在任何投資組合中,都可能有一些股票未達到該基準。我們遺憾地報告,FinVolution集團(紐約證券交易所代碼:FINV)的長期股東有過這樣的經歷,股價在三年內下跌了38%,而市場回報率約爲21%。最重要的是,上週股價下跌了6.0%。重要的是,這可能是市場對最近公佈的財務業績的反應。您可以在我們的公司報告中查看最新的數字。

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

鑑於過去一週對股東來說很艱難,讓我們調查一下基本面,看看我們能學到什麼。

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多茲維爾的超級投資者 禾倫·巴菲特描述了股價如何並不總是合理地反映企業的價值。評估公司情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, FinVolution Group actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 4.1% per year. This is quite a puzzle, and suggests there might be something temporarily buoying the share price. Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.

在不幸的三年股價下跌中,FinVolution集團的每股收益(EPS)實際上每年增長4.1%。這真是個難題,表明可能會有一些東西暫時提振股價。否則,該公司過去曾被過度炒作,因此其增長令人失望。

It looks to us like the market was probably too optimistic around growth three years ago. But it's possible a look at other metrics will be enlightening.

在我們看來,三年前市場對增長可能過於樂觀。但是,看看其他指標可能會有所啓發。

Given the healthiness of the dividend payments, we doubt that they've concerned the market. We like that FinVolution Group has actually grown its revenue over the last three years. But it's not clear to us why the share price is down. It might be worth diving deeper into the fundamentals, lest an opportunity goes begging.

鑑於股息支付的健康狀況,我們懷疑股息是否令市場擔憂。我們和FinVolution集團一樣,在過去三年中,其收入實際上有所增長。但是我們不清楚爲什麼股價下跌。可能值得深入研究基本面,以免機會流失。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下圖描述了收入和收入隨時間推移而發生的變化(點擊圖片即可顯示確切的數值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:FINV Earnings and Revenue Growth May 21st 2024
紐約證券交易所:FINV收益和收入增長 2024年5月21日

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

您可以在這張免費的交互式圖片中看到其資產負債表如何隨着時間的推移而增強(或減弱)。

What About Dividends?

分紅呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of FinVolution Group, it has a TSR of -28% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮兩者之間的區別 股東總回報 (TSR) 和 股價回報。儘管股價回報率僅反映股價的變化,但股東總回報率包括股息的價值(假設已進行再投資)以及任何折扣融資或分拆的收益。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,股東總回報率通常遠高於股價回報率。就FinVolution集團而言,在過去三年中,其股東回報率爲-28%。這超過了我們之前提到的其股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧是沒有好處的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

FinVolution Group shareholders have received returns of 27% over twelve months (even including dividends), which isn't far from the general market return. Most would be happy with a gain, and it helps that the year's return is actually better than the average return over five years, which was 3%. Even if the share price growth slows down from here, there's a good chance that this is business worth watching in the long term. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with FinVolution Group .

FinVolution集團的股東在十二個月內獲得了27%的回報(甚至包括股息),這與總體市場回報率相差不遠。大多數人會對收益感到滿意,而今年的回報率實際上好於五年的平均回報率(3%),這很有幫助。即使股價增長從現在開始放緩,從長遠來看,這很可能是值得關注的業務。儘管市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響值得考慮,但還有其他因素更爲重要。爲此,你應該注意我們在FinVolution集團發現的1個警告信號。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.

如果你像我一樣,那麼你一定不想錯過這份內部人士正在買入的被低估的小盤股的免費清單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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