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Is Tianshan Aluminum Group Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:002532) Recent Stock Performance Tethered To Its Strong Fundamentals?

Simply Wall St ·  May 22 00:04

Tianshan Aluminum GroupLtd (SZSE:002532) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 47% over the last three months. Given that the market rewards strong financials in the long-term, we wonder if that is the case in this instance. Specifically, we decided to study Tianshan Aluminum GroupLtd's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Tianshan Aluminum GroupLtd is:

9.8% = CN¥2.4b ÷ CN¥25b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.10 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of Tianshan Aluminum GroupLtd's Earnings Growth And 9.8% ROE

When you first look at it, Tianshan Aluminum GroupLtd's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, the fact that the company's ROE is higher than the average industry ROE of 7.4%, is definitely interesting. This certainly adds some context to Tianshan Aluminum GroupLtd's moderate 12% net income growth seen over the past five years. That being said, the company does have a slightly low ROE to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. Hence there might be some other aspects that are causing earnings to grow. E.g the company has a low payout ratio or could belong to a high growth industry.

As a next step, we compared Tianshan Aluminum GroupLtd's net income growth with the industry and found that the company has a similar growth figure when compared with the industry average growth rate of 12% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002532 Past Earnings Growth May 22nd 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Has the market priced in the future outlook for 002532? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

Is Tianshan Aluminum GroupLtd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Tianshan Aluminum GroupLtd has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 45% (or a retention ratio of 55%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.

Besides, Tianshan Aluminum GroupLtd has been paying dividends over a period of three years. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 49% of its profits over the next three years. However, Tianshan Aluminum GroupLtd's ROE is predicted to rise to 13% despite there being no anticipated change in its payout ratio.

Summary

Overall, we are quite pleased with Tianshan Aluminum GroupLtd's performance. Specifically, we like that it has been reinvesting a high portion of its profits at a moderate rate of return, resulting in earnings expansion. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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