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There's Reason For Concern Over Zhejiang Tony Electronic Co., Ltd's (SHSE:603595) Massive 28% Price Jump

浙江トニー電子株式会社(SHSE:603595)の大規模な28%の価格上昇に関して懸念がある理由があります。

Simply Wall St ·  05/22 20:08

Zhejiang Tony Electronic Co., Ltd (SHSE:603595) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 28% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 42% over that time.

Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Zhejiang Tony Electronic is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 2.9x, considering almost half the companies in China's Electrical industry have P/S ratios below 2.3x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603595 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 23rd 2024

How Zhejiang Tony Electronic Has Been Performing

The recent revenue growth at Zhejiang Tony Electronic would have to be considered satisfactory if not spectacular. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance is strong enough to outperform the industry, which has inflated the P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Zhejiang Tony Electronic's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Zhejiang Tony Electronic?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Zhejiang Tony Electronic's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 4.0% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 85% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Weighing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 24% shows it's about the same on an annualised basis.

With this information, we find it interesting that Zhejiang Tony Electronic is trading at a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Nevertheless, they may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Final Word

Zhejiang Tony Electronic's P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our look into Zhejiang Tony Electronic has shown that it currently trades on a higher than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is only in line with the wider industry forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Zhejiang Tony Electronic you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Zhejiang Tony Electronic, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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