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Zhejiang Medicine (SHSE:600216) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Zhejiang Medicine (SHSE:600216) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

浙江醫藥(SHSE: 600216)在使用債務方面承擔了一些風險
Simply Wall St ·  05/22 20:22

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Zhejiang Medicine Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600216) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們注意到,浙江醫藥股份有限公司(SHSE: 600216)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

When Is Debt A Problem?

債務何時會成爲問題?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但是如果企業無法償還貸款,那麼債務就任其擺佈。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司爲了控制債務,必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理債務,而且對自己有利。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起考慮。

What Is Zhejiang Medicine's Net Debt?

浙醫的淨負債是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Zhejiang Medicine had debt of CN¥851.2m, up from CN¥801.2m in one year. However, it does have CN¥1.87b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥1.02b.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2024年3月,浙江醫藥的債務爲8.512億元人民幣,高於一年內的8.012億元人民幣。但是,它確實有18.7億元的現金抵消了這一點,淨現金爲10.2億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600216 Debt to Equity History May 23rd 2024
SHSE: 600216 2024 年 5 月 23 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

How Strong Is Zhejiang Medicine's Balance Sheet?

浙醫的資產負債表有多強?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Zhejiang Medicine had liabilities of CN¥2.39b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥458.2m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.87b and CN¥1.79b worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥821.4m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根據上次報告的資產負債表,浙江醫藥的負債爲23.9億元人民幣,12個月後到期的負債爲4.582億元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的現金爲18.7億元人民幣,還有價值17.9億元人民幣的應收賬款。所以它實際上有8.214億元人民幣 更多 流動資產超過總負債。

This surplus suggests that Zhejiang Medicine has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that Zhejiang Medicine has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這種盈餘表明浙醫的資產負債表比較保守,可以毫不費力地消除債務。簡而言之,浙江醫藥的現金多於債務這一事實可以說是一個很好的跡象,表明它可以安全地管理債務。

Shareholders should be aware that Zhejiang Medicine's EBIT was down 98% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Zhejiang Medicine can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

股東應該意識到,浙江醫藥去年的息稅前利潤下降了98%。如果這種下降持續下去,那麼償還債務將比在素食大會上出售鵝肝更難。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但最終,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定浙醫能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Zhejiang Medicine may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Zhejiang Medicine burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

但是我們最終的考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。浙江醫藥的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但研究該企業將其利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的效果仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理能力。在過去的三年中,浙醫燒掉了大量現金。儘管這可能是增長支出的結果,但它確實使債務風險大大增加。

Summing Up

總結

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Zhejiang Medicine has net cash of CN¥1.02b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. Despite the cash, we do find Zhejiang Medicine's EBIT growth rate concerning, so we're not particularly comfortable with the stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Zhejiang Medicine .

雖然我們同情那些認爲債務令人擔憂的投資者,但您應該記住,浙醫的淨現金爲10.2億元人民幣,流動資產比負債還多。儘管有現金,但我們確實認爲浙藥的息稅前利潤增長率令人擔憂,因此我們對該股並不特別滿意。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。爲此,你應該注意我們在浙醫中發現的兩個警告信號。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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