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JINHUI LIQUOR Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603919) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

JINHUI LIQUOR Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603919) Stock's Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Decent: Will The Market Correct The Share Price In The Future?

金輝酒業有限公司, Ltd. (SHSE: 603919) 股票一直在下滑但基本面看起來不錯:未來市場會修正股價嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  05/23 18:36

It is hard to get excited after looking at JINHUI LIQUORLtd's (SHSE:603919) recent performance, when its stock has declined 3.3% over the past week. But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. Specifically, we decided to study JINHUI LIQUORLtd's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for JINHUI LIQUORLtd is:

10% = CN¥361m ÷ CN¥3.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.10 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

JINHUI LIQUORLtd's Earnings Growth And 10% ROE

On the face of it, JINHUI LIQUORLtd's ROE is not much to talk about. Next, when compared to the average industry ROE of 16%, the company's ROE leaves us feeling even less enthusiastic. Although, we can see that JINHUI LIQUORLtd saw a modest net income growth of 6.1% over the past five years. So, the growth in the company's earnings could probably have been caused by other variables. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that JINHUI LIQUORLtd's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 15% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:603919 Past Earnings Growth May 23rd 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is 603919 fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is JINHUI LIQUORLtd Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

JINHUI LIQUORLtd has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 38% (or a retention ratio of 62%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.

Besides, JINHUI LIQUORLtd has been paying dividends over a period of seven years. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 52% over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for JINHUI LIQUORLtd is speculated to rise to 14% despite the anticipated increase in the payout ratio. There could probably be other factors that could be driving the future growth in the ROE.

Conclusion

In total, it does look like JINHUI LIQUORLtd has some positive aspects to its business. That is, a decent growth in earnings backed by a high rate of reinvestment. However, we do feel that that earnings growth could have been higher if the business were to improve on the low ROE rate. Especially given how the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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