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Shareholders in Travel + Leisure (NYSE:TNL) Have Lost 27%, as Stock Drops 7.0% This Past Week

Shareholders in Travel + Leisure (NYSE:TNL) Have Lost 27%, as Stock Drops 7.0% This Past Week

Travel + Leisure(纽约证券交易所代码:TNL)的股东下跌了27%,上周股价下跌了7.0%
Simply Wall St ·  05/24 10:38

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But in any portfolio, there are likely to be some stocks that fall short of that benchmark. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Travel + Leisure Co. (NYSE:TNL) shareholders, since the share price is down 35% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 19%. On top of that, the share price is down 7.0% in the last week.

为了证明选择个股的努力是合理的,值得努力超过市场指数基金的回报。但是在任何投资组合中,都可能有一些股票未达到该基准。不幸的是,长期 Travel + Leisure Co. 就是这样。纽约证券交易所代码:TNL)的股东们,由于股价在过去三年中下跌了35%,远低于19%左右的市场回报率。最重要的是,上周股价下跌了7.0%。

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

鉴于过去一周对股东来说很艰难,让我们调查一下基本面,看看我们能学到什么。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

引用巴菲特的话说:“船只将在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society将蓬勃发展。市场上的价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大差异...”考虑市场对公司的看法发生了怎样的变化的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。

During five years of share price growth, Travel + Leisure moved from a loss to profitability. We would usually expect to see the share price rise as a result. So it's worth looking at other metrics to try to understand the share price move.

在股价增长的五年中,Travel + Leisure从亏损转为盈利。我们通常预计股价会因此上涨。因此,值得研究其他指标来了解股价走势。

We note that the dividend seems healthy enough, so that probably doesn't explain the share price drop. We like that Travel + Leisure has actually grown its revenue over the last three years. But it's not clear to us why the share price is down. It might be worth diving deeper into the fundamentals, lest an opportunity goes begging.

我们注意到,股息似乎足够健康,因此这可能无法解释股价下跌的原因。我们喜欢 Travel + Leisure 的收入在过去三年中实际上有所增长。但是我们尚不清楚为什么股价下跌。可能值得深入研究基本面,以免机会流失。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看确切数字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:TNL Earnings and Revenue Growth May 24th 2024
纽约证券交易所:TNL 收益和收入增长 2024 年 5 月 24 日

It is of course excellent to see how Travel + Leisure has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. If you are thinking of buying or selling Travel + Leisure stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

看到Travel + Leisure多年来如何增加利润当然是件好事,但对于股东来说,未来更为重要。如果你正在考虑买入或卖出Travel + Leisure的股票,你应该在资产负债表上查看这份免费的详细报告。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Travel + Leisure's TSR for the last 3 years was -27%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑两者之间的区别 股东总回报 (TSR) 和 股价回报。尽管股价回报率仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设已进行再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。碰巧的是,Travel + Leisure在过去3年的股东总回报率为-27%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

Travel + Leisure provided a TSR of 20% over the last twelve months. But that was short of the market average. The silver lining is that the gain was actually better than the average annual return of 5% per year over five year. This suggests the company might be improving over time. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Travel + Leisure you should be aware of, and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.

在过去的十二个月中,Travel + Leisure的股东总回报率为20%。但这低于市场平均水平。一线希望是,收益实际上好于五年内每年5%的平均年回报率。这表明随着时间的推移,该公司可能会有所改善。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。一个很好的例子:我们发现了你应该注意的3个旅行+休闲警告标志,其中一个让我们有点不舒服。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家财务状况可能优异的公司——那么千万不要错过这份已经证明自己可以增加收益的公司的免费名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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