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Is Chinasoft International Limited's (HKG:354) Stock Price Struggling As A Result Of Its Mixed Financials?

Is Chinasoft International Limited's (HKG:354) Stock Price Struggling As A Result Of Its Mixed Financials?

中軟國際有限公司(HKG: 354)的股價是否因其財務狀況喜憂參半而陷入困境?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/05/25 07:16

Chinasoft International (HKG:354) has had a rough three months with its share price down 16%. We, however decided to study the company's financials to determine if they have got anything to do with the price decline. Long-term fundamentals are usually what drive market outcomes, so it's worth paying close attention. Specifically, we decided to study Chinasoft International's ROE in this article.

中軟國際(HKG: 354)經歷了艱難的三個月,其股價下跌了16%。但是,我們決定研究公司的財務狀況,以確定它們是否與價格下跌有關。長期基本面通常是推動市場結果的因素,因此值得密切關注。具體而言,我們決定在本文中研究中軟國際的投資回報率。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

投資回報率或股本回報率是評估公司如何有效地從股東那裏獲得投資回報的有用工具。換句話說,它是衡量公司股東提供的資本回報率的盈利比率。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股本回報率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回報率可以使用以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Chinasoft International is:

因此,根據上述公式,中軟國際的投資回報率爲:

6.1% = CN¥713m ÷ CN¥12b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

6.1% = 7.13億元人民幣 ÷ 120億元人民幣(基於截至2023年12月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every HK$1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated HK$0.06 in profit.

“回報” 是指公司去年的收益。這意味着,每獲得價值1港元的股東權益,該公司就會產生0.06港元的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長有什麼關係?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率是衡量公司盈利能力的指標。根據公司選擇將多少利潤進行再投資或 “保留”,我們便能夠評估公司未來創造利潤的能力。一般而言,在其他條件相同的情況下,股本回報率和利潤留存率高的公司的增長率要高於不具有這些屬性的公司。

Chinasoft International's Earnings Growth And 6.1% ROE

中軟國際的收益增長和6.1%的投資回報率

At first glance, Chinasoft International's ROE doesn't look very promising. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 7.1%, we may spare it some thought. Still, Chinasoft International has seen a flat net income growth over the past five years. Remember, the company's ROE is not particularly great to begin with. So that could also be one of the reasons behind the company's flat growth in earnings.

乍一看,中軟國際的投資回報率看起來並不十分樂觀。但是,鑑於該公司的投資回報率與7.1%的平均行業投資回報率相似,我們可以不加思索。儘管如此,在過去五年中,中軟國際的淨收入增長仍然持平。請記住,公司的投資回報率一開始並不是特別好。因此,這也可能是該公司收益持平增長的原因之一。

As a next step, we compared Chinasoft International's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 6.8% in the same period.

下一步,我們將中軟國際的淨收入增長與該行業進行了比較,並失望地看到該公司的增長低於同期6.8%的行業平均增長。

past-earnings-growth
SEHK:354 Past Earnings Growth May 24th 2024
SEHK: 354 過去的收益增長 2024 年 5 月 24 日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about Chinasoft International's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

收益增長是對股票進行估值時要考慮的重要指標。對於投資者來說,重要的是要知道市場是否對公司的預期收益增長(或下降)進行了定價。這樣做將幫助他們確定股票的未來是樂觀還是不祥的。如果你想知道中軟國際的估值,可以看看這個衡量中軟國際與行業相比的市盈率指標。

Is Chinasoft International Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

中軟國際是否在有效利用其利潤?

Chinasoft International's low three-year median payout ratio of 6.5% (implying that the company keeps94% of its income) should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings to fuel its growth and this should be reflected in its growth number, but that's not the case.

中軟國際的三年低派息率中位數爲6.5%(這意味着該公司保留了94%的收入),這應該意味着該公司保留了大部分收益來推動增長,這應該反映在其增長數字上,但事實並非如此。

In addition, Chinasoft International has been paying dividends over a period of seven years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 30% over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for Chinasoft International is speculated to rise to 9.6% despite the anticipated increase in the payout ratio. There could probably be other factors that could be driving the future growth in the ROE.

此外,中軟國際在七年內一直在派發股息,這表明即使以業務增長爲代價,維持股息支付對管理層來說也更爲重要。在研究了分析師的最新共識數據後,我們發現該公司的未來派息率預計將在未來三年內上升至30%。無論如何,儘管預計派息率將增加,但預計中軟國際的未來投資回報率將升至9.6%。可能還有其他因素可能推動投資回報率的未來增長。

Summary

摘要

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Chinasoft International's performance. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

總的來說,我們對中軟國際的表現有點矛盾。儘管該公司的利潤保留率確實很高,但其低迴報率可能會阻礙其收益增長。既然如此,分析師的最新預測顯示,該公司的收益將繼續增長。這些分析師的預期是基於對該行業的廣泛預期,還是基於公司的基本面?點擊此處進入我們分析師對公司的預測頁面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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