The Three-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on Huadian Heavy Industries (SHSE:601226) Shareholders as Stock Falls 6.3% Over the Past Week
The Three-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on Huadian Heavy Industries (SHSE:601226) Shareholders as Stock Falls 6.3% Over the Past Week
While Huadian Heavy Industries Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601226) shareholders are probably generally happy, the stock hasn't had particularly good run recently, with the share price falling 16% in the last quarter. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last three years have been pleasing. In the last three years the share price is up, 42%: better than the market.
虽然华电重工股份有限公司(SHSE:601226)的股东可能总体上感到满意,但该股票最近并没有表现得特别好,在最后一个季度中股价下跌了16%。但这并不能改变过去三年的回报率令人满意这一事实。在过去三年中,股价上涨了42%,超过市场。
While this past week has detracted from the company's three-year return, let's look at the recent trends of the underlying business and see if the gains have been in alignment.
尽管过去一周公司的三年回报率有所下降,但让我们看看基础业务的最近趋势,以确定收益是否与之相符。
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
虽然市场是一个强大的定价机制,但股价反映了投资者情绪,不仅仅是基本业绩。一种有缺陷但合理的评估公司周围情绪如何变化的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。
Over the last three years, Huadian Heavy Industries failed to grow earnings per share, which fell 9.9% (annualized).
在过去三年中,华电重工没有实现每股收益增长,而是下降了9.9%(年化)。
So we doubt that the market is looking to EPS for its main judge of the company's value. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
因此,我们怀疑市场不会将EPS作为公司价值的主要判断依据。由于EPS的变化似乎与股价的变化无关,因此值得关注其他指标。
The modest 0.5% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. The revenue drop of 11% is as underwhelming as some politicians. What's clear is that historic earnings and revenue aren't matching up with the share price action, very well. So you might have to dig deeper to get a grasp of the situation
微薄的0.5%的股息收益率不太可能支撑股价。收入下降11%与某些政治家的表现一样不给力。显然,历史收益和营业收入与股价行动不太匹配。因此,你可能需要深入挖掘情况。
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下图显示了收益和营收随时间变化的情况(如果你点击图像,可以看到更多细节):
Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.
资产负债表强度至关重要。查看我们关于其财务状况如何随时间变化的免费报告可能很值得一看。
What About Dividends?
那么分红怎么样呢?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Huadian Heavy Industries, it has a TSR of 47% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
在考虑投资回报时,重要的是考虑总股东回报(TSR)和股票回报之间的差异。 TSR包括任何剥离或折让的资本筹集(基于股息被重新投资的假设),以及任何股息。因此,对于支付慷慨的股息公司而言,TSR通常比股票回报高得多。就中国神威药业集团而言,其TSR在过去5年中达到了75%。这超过了我们之前提到的股票回报。该公司支付的股息已经提高了总股东回报。总股东回报和股票回报TSR包括任何分拆或折价的资本筹集,以及股息,基于股息再投资的假设。可以说,TSR为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的图景。对于华电重工,过去3年其TSR为47%,超过了我们先前提到的股价回报。公司支付的股息增加了股东的收益。总股东回报。
A Different Perspective
不同的观点
We regret to report that Huadian Heavy Industries shareholders are down 21% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 8.9%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 5% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Huadian Heavy Industries you should be aware of.
不幸的是,华电重工的股东今年下跌了21%,包括股息在内。不幸的是,这比更广泛的市场下跌8.9%还要糟糕。然而,可能仅仅是股价受到更广泛的市场恐慌的影响。值得关注的是,长期股东每年获得5%的收益,这是五年半以来的收益。最近的抛售可能是一个机会,所以值得检查基本数据以寻找长期增长趋势的迹象。
Of course Huadian Heavy Industries may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
当然,华电重工可能不是最好的股票买入选择。因此,您可能希望查看这些免费的成长股票集合。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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