share_log

Should Weakness in Xinhuanet Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603888) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?

Should Weakness in Xinhuanet Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603888) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?

新華網有限公司應該存在弱點嗎?”鑑於財務狀況良好,s(SHSE: 603888)股票被視爲市場將修正股價的標誌?
Simply Wall St ·  05/25 20:11

With its stock down 18% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Xinhuanet (SHSE:603888). But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. Specifically, we decided to study Xinhuanet's ROE in this article.

Xinhuanet (SHSE:603888) 的股價在過去三個月下跌了18%,我們很容易忽略它的存在。但如果你仔細觀察,你會發現它的關鍵財務指標看起來相當不錯,這意味着在長期來看,市場通常會獎勵那些具有更有彈性的長期基本面的公司。具體來說,我們決定在本文中研究 Xinhuanet 的roe。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股東權益回報率(ROE)是測試公司如何有效地增加其價值並管理投資者資金的指標。簡而言之,它用於評估公司相對於股本資本的盈利能力。

How Is ROE Calculated?

淨資產收益率怎麼計算?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股東權益報酬率可以使用以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Xinhuanet is:

所以,根據以上公式,Xinhuanet 的 ROE 爲:

8.0% = CN¥275m ÷ CN¥3.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

8.0% = CN¥275m ÷ CN¥3.5b(截至2024年3月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.08 in profit.

“回報”是過去一年的利潤。另一種想法是,對於每一元人民幣的股權,公司能夠賺取0.08元的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE對於盈利增長的重要性是什麼?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到 ROE 是衡量公司盈利能力的指標。根據公司再投資或“保留”的這些利潤的數量以及其有效性,我們可以評估公司的盈利增長潛力。假設其他都相同,ROE 和利潤保留較高的公司通常具有更高的增長率,與那些沒有這些特點的公司相比。

Xinhuanet's Earnings Growth And 8.0% ROE

Xinhuanet 的營收增長和 8.0% 的roe

When you first look at it, Xinhuanet's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, the fact that the company's ROE is higher than the average industry ROE of 4.9%, is definitely interesting. However, Xinhuanet has seen a flattish net income growth over the past five years, which is not saying much. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the flat earnings growth.

當你第一眼看到它時,Xinhuanet 的roe 看起來並不那麼吸引人。但是,公司的roe高於行業平均roe 4.9%,這絕對是令人感興趣的。然而,Xinhuanet 在過去五年中幾乎沒有淨利潤的增長,這並不是什麼好兆頭。請記住,公司的roe 起點相對較低,只是高於行業平均水平。因此,這在某種程度上可以解釋爲什麼收益增長平穩。

We then compared Xinhuanet's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 1.8% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

然後我們將 Xinhuanet 的淨收入增長與同期行業進行了比較,發現該公司的增長率低於同期行業的平均增長率1.8%,這有點令人擔憂。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:603888 Past Earnings Growth May 26th 2024
SHSE:603888 過去 Earnings 增長 2024年5月26日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Xinhuanet fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增長是股票估值的重要因素。投資者需要判斷未來的預期收益增長是否已經反映在股票價格中。這將有助於他們判斷股票的未來前景是光明還是黯淡。Xinhuanet 的估值是否合理?這3個估值指標可能會幫助您做出決定。

Is Xinhuanet Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Xinhuanet 是否有效地利用了其保留收益?

Despite having a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 38% (meaning the company retains62% of profits) in the last three-year period, Xinhuanet's earnings growth was more or les flat. Therefore, there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

在過去的三年中,儘管 Xinhuanet 的中位數分紅比率爲38%(也就是說,公司保留了62%的利潤),但其收益增長基本持平。因此,可能存在一些其他原因來解釋這方面的缺陷。例如,此業務可能處於衰退狀態。

Moreover, Xinhuanet has been paying dividends for seven years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,Xinhuanet 分紅七年,這是相當長的時間,這表明管理層必須認爲股東更喜歡股息而不是收益增長。

Conclusion

結論

Overall, we feel that Xinhuanet certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a respectable rate of return and is reinvesting a huge portion of its profits. By the looks of it, there could be some other factors, not necessarily in control of the business, that's preventing growth. Up till now, we've only made a short study of the company's growth data. So it may be worth checking this free detailed graph of Xinhuanet's past earnings, as well as revenue and cash flows to get a deeper insight into the company's performance.

總的來說,我們認爲Xinhuanet 當然有一些需要考慮的積極因素。然而,低收益增長是有點令人擔憂的,尤其是考慮到該公司具有可觀的回報率並正在將其大部分利潤再投資。看起來,可能存在一些其他因素(不一定在業務控制範圍內)阻礙了增長。到目前爲止,我們只對公司的增長數據進行了簡短的研究。因此,值得檢查 Xinhuanet 過去收益,以及收入和現金流的詳細圖表,以深入了解公司的表現。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論