Brilliance Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300542) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 25% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 32% in the last year.
Although its price has surged higher, Brilliance Technology's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.8x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the IT industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 3.5x and even P/S above 7x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
![ps-multiple-vs-industry](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20240526/0-c8aec997315c0fc92e52cc5dfaa0e0b2-0-3913b0f9927af12b0d56900ae6237a66.png/big)
What Does Brilliance Technology's Recent Performance Look Like?
Recent times have been advantageous for Brilliance Technology as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Brilliance Technology.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Brilliance Technology?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Brilliance Technology would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 30% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 50% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 9.1% during the coming year according to the dual analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 43% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we can see why Brilliance Technology is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Final Word
Brilliance Technology's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Brilliance Technology maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Brilliance Technology (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.