share_log

Do Fundamentals Have Any Role To Play In Driving Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery Co., Ltd's (SZSE:002461) Stock Up Recently?

Do Fundamentals Have Any Role To Play In Driving Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery Co., Ltd's (SZSE:002461) Stock Up Recently?

基本面在推动广州珠江啤酒股份有限公司(SZSE:002461)最近股票上涨方面有什么作用吗?
Simply Wall St ·  05/25 22:13

Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery's (SZSE:002461) stock is up by 6.4% over the past three months. Given that stock prices are usually aligned with a company's financial performance in the long-term, we decided to investigate if the company's decent financials had a hand to play in the recent price move. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery's ROE today.

过去三个月,珠江啤酒(SZSE:002461)的股票上涨了6.4%。考虑到股票价格通常与公司的长期财务表现一致,我们决定调查该公司良好财务状况是否在最近的股价上涨中起作用。特别地,我们将今天关注珠江啤酒的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回报率或roe是评估公司管理层如何有效利用公司资本的关键指标。简而言之,ROE显示每美元股东投资所产生的利润。

How Is ROE Calculated?

净资产收益率怎么计算?

The formula for return on equity is:

权益回报率的计算公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery is:

因此,根据上述公式,珠江啤酒的roe为:

6.7% = CN¥678m ÷ CN¥10b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

6.7% = CN¥67800万÷CN¥100亿(基于截至2024年3月的过去12个月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.07 in profit.

“回报”是指公司过去一年的收入。一种概念化方法是,对于每一元股东资本,公司赚取了0.07元利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE对于盈利增长的重要性是什么?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我们已经确定roe对于公司未来收益的有效衡量工具。根据公司再投资或“留存”这些利润的程度及其有效性,我们随后可以评估公司的收益增长潜力。一般而言,其他条件相同的情况下,roe和利润留存率较高的公司比不具备这些属性的公司具有更高的增长率。

Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery's Earnings Growth And 6.7% ROE

珠江啤酒的盈利增长和6.7%的roe.

At first glance, Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery's ROE doesn't look very promising. We then compared the company's ROE to the broader industry and were disappointed to see that the ROE is lower than the industry average of 16%. Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery was still able to see a decent net income growth of 7.5% over the past five years. We reckon that there could be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

乍一看,珠江啤酒的roe似乎并不是很有前景。然后,我们将公司的roe与整个行业进行了比较,很失望地发现roe低于16%的行业平均水平。过去五年来,珠江啤酒仍然能够实现7.5%的净利润增长率。我们认为这里可能还有其他因素在发挥作用。例如,公司有较低的支付比率或者被高效管理。

We then compared Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 15% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

然后我们将珠江啤酒的净收入增长与行业进行了比较,发现该公司的增长率低于同一5年期内15%的行业平均增长率,这有点令人担忧。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002461 Past Earnings Growth May 26th 2024
SZSE:002461过去的收益增长(2024年5月26日)

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

收益增长是考虑股票估值时应考虑的一个重要指标。投资者应该试图确定预期的盈利增长或下降(无论哪种情况),是否已经被定价。通过这样做,他们将了解股票是否进入清晰的蓝色水域,或者是否等待泥泞的水域。如果您想知道珠江啤酒的估值,请查看它的市盈率,以及相对于同行业的比较。

Is Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

珠江啤酒是否在有效地重投资其利润?

Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 43% (or a retention ratio of 57%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.

珠江啤酒具有中等的三年中位数支出比率为43%(或保留比率为57%)以及像我们上面看到的可观的盈利增长,这意味着公司一直在有效地利用其利润。

Additionally, Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders.

此外,珠江啤酒在至少10年的时间内支付股息,这意味着公司非常认真地与股东分享其利润。

Summary

总的来说,我们对伟明环保的表现非常满意。具体而言,我们喜欢公司以高回报率再投资了其利润的很大一部分。当然,这导致公司的收益大幅增长。但是,最新的行业分析师预测表明,该公司的收益预计将加速增长。

Overall, we feel that Guangzhou Zhujiang Brewery certainly does have some positive factors to consider. That is, a decent growth in earnings backed by a high rate of reinvestment. However, we do feel that that earnings growth could have been higher if the business were to improve on the low ROE rate. Especially given how the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总体而言,我们认为珠江啤酒确实具有一些积极因素需要考虑。也就是说,可观的盈利增长受高额再投资率的支持。然而,如果企业改善低roe率,那么我们认为这种盈利增长可能会更高。特别是考虑到公司正在将其利润的很大一部分重新投资。尽管如此,最新的行业分析师预测显示,该公司的盈利预计将加速增长。这些分析师的预期是基于行业的广泛预期,还是基于公司的基本面?点击这里进入我们的分析师预测页面了解更多信息。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或电邮 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发