With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x Minmetals Development Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600058) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Trade Distributors companies in China have P/S ratios greater than 0.7x and even P/S higher than 3x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How Minmetals Development Has Been Performing
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Minmetals Development over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Minmetals Development will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Minmetals Development will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Minmetals Development?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Minmetals Development's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 10% decrease to the company's top line. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in revenue being achieved in total. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 21% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Minmetals Development is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Minmetals Development's P/S
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Minmetals Development revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.
Having said that, be aware Minmetals Development is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those don't sit too well with us.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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