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Can Mixed Fundamentals Have A Negative Impact on Huaihe Energy (Group) Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600575) Current Share Price Momentum?

Can Mixed Fundamentals Have A Negative Impact on Huaihe Energy (Group) Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600575) Current Share Price Momentum?

混合基本面會對淮河能源(集團)股份有限公司產生負面影響嗎, Ltd(上海證券交易所代碼:600575)當前股價走勢?
Simply Wall St ·  05/27 19:17

Huaihe Energy (Group)Ltd (SHSE:600575) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 44% over the last three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Huaihe Energy (Group)Ltd's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Huaihe Energy (Group)Ltd is:

8.0% = CN¥1.0b ÷ CN¥13b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.08 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of Huaihe Energy (Group)Ltd's Earnings Growth And 8.0% ROE

At first glance, Huaihe Energy (Group)Ltd's ROE doesn't look very promising. However, the fact that the company's ROE is higher than the average industry ROE of 6.3%, is definitely interesting. But seeing Huaihe Energy (Group)Ltd's five year net income decline of 5.9% over the past five years, we might rethink that. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. So that could be one of the factors that are causing earnings growth to shrink.

However, when we compared Huaihe Energy (Group)Ltd's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 3.9% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600575 Past Earnings Growth May 27th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Huaihe Energy (Group)Ltd's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Huaihe Energy (Group)Ltd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Huaihe Energy (Group)Ltd has a high three-year median payout ratio of 51% (that is, it is retaining 49% of its profits). This suggests that the company is paying most of its profits as dividends to its shareholders. This goes some way in explaining why its earnings have been shrinking. The business is only left with a small pool of capital to reinvest - A vicious cycle that doesn't benefit the company in the long-run.

In addition, Huaihe Energy (Group)Ltd has been paying dividends over a period of four years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline.

Summary

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Huaihe Energy (Group)Ltd can be open to many interpretations. On the one hand, the company does have a decent rate of return, however, its earnings growth number is quite disappointing and as discussed earlier, the low retained earnings is hampering the growth. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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