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Jilin Chemical Fibre Stock Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000420) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

Jilin Chemical Fibre Stock Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000420) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

吉林化纤股份有限公司, Ltd (SZSE: 000420) 股票走强但基本面看起来不确定:未来会怎样?
Simply Wall St ·  05/27 20:47

Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd (SZSE:000420) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 43% over the last three months. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd's ROE today.

吉林化纤股份有限公司(SZSE:000420)在股市上经历了一次伟大的涨势,股票在过去三个月内显著上涨了43%。然而,我们决定关注公司的基本面,因为这些基本面似乎没有给出关于公司财务状况的明确信号。特别是今天我们将关注吉林化纤股份有限公司的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股东必须考虑股本回报率或ROE,因为它告诉他们公司如何有效地重新投资他们的资本。 简而言之,ROE显示每美元股东投资所产生的利润。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

怎样计算ROE?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

净资产收益率可以使用以下公式进行计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(从持续经营中获得)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd is:

因此,根据以上公式,吉林化纤股份有限公司的roe为:

0.7% = CN¥32m ÷ CN¥4.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

0.7%=CN¥3200万÷CN¥44亿(截至2023年12月)

The 'return' is the yearly profit. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.01 in profit.

“回报率”是年利润。这意味着对于每1元股东权益,公司生成了0.01元利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

ROE与盈利增长有什么关系?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我们已经确定,roe是一个有效的利润生成衡量标准,用于评估公司未来的盈利能力。根据公司再投资或“保留”这些利润的比例以及这样做的有效性,我们能够评估公司的盈利增长潜力。假设其他所有因素保持不变,roe和利润保留的比例越高,相对于没有这些特征的公司,公司的增长率就越高。

Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd's Earnings Growth And 0.7% ROE

吉林化纤股份有限公司的盈利增长和0.7%的roe

As you can see, Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd's ROE looks pretty weak. Even when compared to the industry average of 6.3%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 26% seen by Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd over the last five years is not surprising. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For example, the business has allocated capital poorly, or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

正如您所见,吉林化纤股份有限公司的roe看起来相当疲软。即使与行业平均水平(6.3%)相比,roe数据也相当令人失望。鉴于此,吉林化纤股份有限公司在过去五年中净收入大幅下降26%的情况并不令人意外。我们认为,还可能有其他方面对公司的收益前景产生负面影响。例如,该业务分配资本不当,或者公司的支付比率非常高。

However, when we compared Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 7.8% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

然而,当我们将吉林化纤股份有限公司的增长与行业进行比较时,我们发现尽管公司的收益在萎缩,但行业在同一时期的收益增长为7.8%,这是非常令人担忧的。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:000420 Past Earnings Growth May 28th 2024
SZSE:000420过去的盈利增长情况(2024年5月28日)

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

盈利增长是考虑股票估值时要考虑的重要指标。对于投资者来说,知道市场是否已经定价了公司预期的盈利增长(或下降)非常重要。这有助于他们确定股票是否面临光明或黯淡的未来。如果您想了解吉林化纤股份有限公司的估值,请查看其市盈率相对于行业的情况。

Is Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

吉林化纤股份有限公司是否有效地再投资其利润?

Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd doesn't pay any regular dividends, meaning that the company is keeping all of its profits, which makes us wonder why it is retaining its earnings if it can't use them to grow its business. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

吉林化纤股份有限公司不支付任何定期股息,这意味着公司保留了所有利润,这让我们想知道为什么它保留了利润,如果不能用它们来发展业务,那么原因是什么。看起来可能有其他原因来解释这种缺乏,例如业务可能在下滑。

Summary

总的来说,我们对伟明环保的表现非常满意。具体而言,我们喜欢公司以高回报率再投资了其利润的很大一部分。当然,这导致公司的收益大幅增长。但是,最新的行业分析师预测表明,该公司的收益预计将加速增长。

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd can be open to many interpretations. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总的来说,我们认为吉林化纤股份有限公司的表现可能有多种解释。尽管它似乎保留了大部分利润,但考虑到roe低,投资者可能并没有从所有再投资中获益。低盈利增长表明我们的理论是正确的。也就是说,最新的行业分析师预测显示,分析师预计公司的盈利增长率将大幅提高。这些分析师的期望是基于对行业的广泛预期,还是基于公司的基本面?点击此处以进入我们的分析师预测页面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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