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We Think China National Medicines (SHSE:600511) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

中国医药(SHSE:600511)は借金を簡単に管理することができると考えています。

Simply Wall St ·  05/27 21:26

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that China National Medicines Corporation Ltd. (SHSE:600511) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

What Is China National Medicines's Net Debt?

As you can see below, China National Medicines had CN¥183.8m of debt at March 2024, down from CN¥252.9m a year prior. However, it does have CN¥9.29b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥9.11b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600511 Debt to Equity History May 28th 2024

How Strong Is China National Medicines' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that China National Medicines had liabilities of CN¥13.7b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.17b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥9.29b in cash and CN¥14.8b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥9.21b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This excess liquidity is a great indication that China National Medicines' balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. On this view, lenders should feel as safe as the beloved of a black-belt karate master. Succinctly put, China National Medicines boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

China National Medicines's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year, but that shouldn't be an issue given the it doesn't have a lot of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine China National Medicines's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. China National Medicines may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, China National Medicines generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 90% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Summing Up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that China National Medicines has net cash of CN¥9.11b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥2.0b, being 90% of its EBIT. So we don't think China National Medicines's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with China National Medicines .

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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