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Zhejiang Guyuelongshan Shaoxing Wine Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600059) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

Simply Wall St ·  May 28 18:21

When close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 32x, you may consider Zhejiang Guyuelongshan Shaoxing Wine Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600059) as an attractive investment with its 19.7x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Zhejiang Guyuelongshan Shaoxing WineLtd certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600059 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 28th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Zhejiang Guyuelongshan Shaoxing WineLtd will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Zhejiang Guyuelongshan Shaoxing WineLtd would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 125%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 110% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 11% each year over the next three years. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 25% per annum.

With this information, we are not surprised that Zhejiang Guyuelongshan Shaoxing WineLtd is trading at a P/E lower than the market. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

The Final Word

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Zhejiang Guyuelongshan Shaoxing WineLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Zhejiang Guyuelongshan Shaoxing WineLtd (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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