share_log

The Five-year Earnings Decline Is Not Helping Shanghai Aj GroupLtd's (SHSE:600643 Share Price, as Stock Falls Another 5.3% in Past Week

The Five-year Earnings Decline Is Not Helping Shanghai Aj GroupLtd's (SHSE:600643 Share Price, as Stock Falls Another 5.3% in Past Week

五年收益的下降对上海安杰集团有限公司(SHSE: 600643)的股价没有帮助,因为过去一周股价又下跌了5.3%
Simply Wall St ·  05/29 18:32

In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But every investor is virtually certain to have both over-performing and under-performing stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Shanghai Aj Group Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600643), since the last five years saw the share price fall 54%.

为了证明选择个股投资的价值,努力打败市场指数基金的回报是值得的。但是每位投资者都几乎肯定会有超额表现和低于预期回报的股票。此时,一些股东可能在质疑他们对上海爱建集团股份有限公司(SHSE:600643)的投资,因为过去五年股价下跌了54%。

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

考虑到过去一周对股东来说是艰难的,让我们调查一下基本面并看看我们能学到什么。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

市场有时无疑是高效的,但价格并不总是反映基础业务表现。 一种检查市场情绪如何随时间改变的方法是查看公司的股价与每股收益(EPS)之间的互动。

Looking back five years, both Shanghai Aj GroupLtd's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 71% per year. This was, in part, due to extraordinary items impacting earnings. The share price decline of 14% per year isn't as bad as the EPS decline. So the market may previously have expected a drop, or else it expects the situation will improve. The high P/E ratio of 2.86k suggests that shareholders believe earnings will grow in the years ahead.

回顾过去五年,上海爱建集团股份有限公司的股价和每股收益均下降,后者年均下降率为71%,部分原因是非常规项目对盈利的影响。每年下跌14%的股价下跌速度不如每股收益下降速度快。因此,市场可能之前预期会有下跌,或者预计情况会有所改善。高达0.286万的市盈率表明股东相信未来几年收益将增长。

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下面的图片中查看每股收益如何随时间变化(单击图表以查看确切的价值)。

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:600643 Earnings Per Share Growth May 29th 2024
SHSE:600643每股收益增长2024年5月29日

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

在购买或出售股票之前,我们始终建议仔细研究历史增长趋势,此处提供。

What About Dividends?

那么分红怎么样呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Shanghai Aj GroupLtd the TSR over the last 5 years was -47%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是考虑总股东回报(TSR)和股票回报之间的差异。 TSR包括任何剥离或折让的资本筹集(基于股息被重新投资的假设),以及任何股息。因此,对于支付慷慨的股息公司而言,TSR通常比股票回报高得多。就中国神威药业集团而言,其TSR在过去5年中达到了75%。这超过了我们之前提到的股票回报。该公司支付的股息已经提高了总股东回报。总股东回报股票回报相对于股价回报仅反映股价变动,综合回报率还包括股息的价值(假设它们被再投资)以及任何折价资本筹集或分拆带来的利益。可以说,综合回报率更全面地展现了股票产生的回报情况。我们注意到,对于上海爱建集团股份有限公司,过去5年的综合回报率为-47%,比上述股价回报率要好。而且,毫无疑问,股息支付很大程度上解释了这种差异!

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

While the broader market lost about 10% in the twelve months, Shanghai Aj GroupLtd shareholders did even worse, losing 18% (even including dividends). Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 8% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Shanghai Aj GroupLtd (2 are significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

尽管更广泛的市场在过去12个月中损失约10%,但上海爱建集团股份有限公司的股东表现得更差,亏损了18%(包括股息)。尽管如此,在熊市中有些股票被过度抛售是不可避免的。关键是要关注基本面的发展。不幸的是,去年的表现表明存在未解决的挑战,因为它比过去半个世纪的年化亏损率8%还要糟糕。我们知道,罗斯柴尔德男爵曾说过:“在街头涌出鲜血时买股票”,但我们警告说,投资者首先应该确定他们正在购买高质量的企业。虽然考虑市场条件对股价可能产生的不同影响非常重要,但有其他更重要的因素。例如,我们发现了4个警示信号,包括2个重大警示信号,你在此投资之前一定要了解。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.

如果您像我一样,就不会希望错过这份免费的内部人士正在购买的低估小市值股票列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对本文有反馈?关于内容有所顾虑?直接和我们联系。或电邮 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发