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We Think Shenyang Machine Tool (SZSE:000410) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

We Think Shenyang Machine Tool (SZSE:000410) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

我們認爲瀋陽機牀(SZSE: 000410)有相當一部分債務
Simply Wall St ·  05/31 06:09

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Shenyang Machine Tool Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000410) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

傳奇基金經理李錄(查理芒格的支持者)曾說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性的資本損失。”因此,當您考慮一隻股票的風險時,需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務可能會使一家公司不堪重負。重要的是,瀋陽機牀股份有限公司(SZSE:000410)確實負債。但是這筆債務是否讓股東擔憂?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有當一家公司無法輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題,無論是通過籌集資本還是通過自身現金流。在最糟糕的情況下,如果一家公司無法償還債權人,它可能會破產。然而,更常見但仍然代價高昂的情況是,公司必須以極低的價格發行股票,從而永久性地稀釋股東的股份,以維護其資產負債表。通過取代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要以高回報率投資於增長的業務獲得資本的極好工具。在考慮一家公司使用了多少債務時,首要做的事情是看看其現金和債務的總和。

What Is Shenyang Machine Tool's Debt?

瀋陽機牀的負債是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Shenyang Machine Tool had CN¥1.10b of debt, an increase on none, over one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥280.7m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥817.1m.

您可以單擊下面的圖形獲取歷史數據,但它顯示,截至2024年3月,瀋陽機牀負債11億元,同比增長了零;而現金達到2.807億元,導致淨債務約爲8.171億元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000410 Debt to Equity History May 30th 2024
SZSE:000410債務股本比歷史數據於May 30th 2024

A Look At Shenyang Machine Tool's Liabilities

從最近的資產負債表中,我們可以看到瀋陽機牀有15.5億元的短期負債,而有6137萬元的長期負債。與此同時,它還有2.807億元的現金和7227萬元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的組合多出1.16億元。鑑於瀋陽機牀的市值爲14.5億元,很難相信這些負債會構成多大威脅。然而,我們認爲值得關注其資產負債表的強壯程度,因爲它可能隨時間變化而改變。當您分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的區域。 但是,您不能將債務完全孤立地看待;因爲瀋陽機牀需要盈利來償還債務。因此,在考慮債務時,值得關注收益趨勢。單擊此處獲取交互式快照。

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shenyang Machine Tool had liabilities of CN¥1.55b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥613.7m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥280.7m as well as receivables valued at CN¥722.7m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥1.16b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

在過去的12個月中,瀋陽機牀在EBIt水平實現了虧損,並將其收入降至1.5億元,下降了5.8%。我們更希望看到增長。重要的是,瀋陽機牀去年EBIT出現虧損。事實上,它在EBIt水平上損失了2.25億元。當我們考慮到其資產負債表上的債務相對於現金時,我們認爲公司持有任何債務是不明智的。坦率地說,我們認爲資產負債表遠未達到最佳狀態,儘管隨着時間的推移,它可能會得到改善。值得一提的是,過去12個月的EBIt損失比自由現金流的4400萬元和利潤的2900萬元還要糟糕。因此,有人可能會認爲它仍有可能走上正確的軌道。當您分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的區域。但是,最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表範圍的風險。例如,我們已經確定了瀋陽機牀的2個警告信號(其中1個讓我們有點不安),您應該注意。

Given Shenyang Machine Tool has a market capitalization of CN¥14.5b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shenyang Machine Tool will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

給定瀋陽機牀的市值爲14.5億元,很難相信這些負債會構成多大威脅。然而,我們認爲值得關注其資產負債表的強壯程度,因爲它可能隨時間變化而改變。當您分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的區域。 但是,您不能將債務完全孤立地看待;因爲瀋陽機牀需要盈利來償還債務。因此,在考慮債務時,值得關注收益趨勢。單擊此處獲取交互式快照。

Over 12 months, Shenyang Machine Tool made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥1.5b, which is a fall of 5.8%. We would much prefer see growth.

在過去的12個月中,瀋陽機牀在EBIt水平實現了虧損,並將其收入降至1.5億元,下降了5.8%。我們更希望看到增長。

Caveat Emptor

買方自負。

Importantly, Shenyang Machine Tool had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost CN¥225m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. On the bright side, we note that trailing twelve month EBIT is worse than the free cash flow of CN¥44m and the profit of CN¥29m. So one might argue that there's still a chance it can get things on the right track. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Shenyang Machine Tool (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) you should be aware of.

重要的是,瀋陽機牀去年的利息、稅項前虧損(EBIT)達到了人民幣2.25億,考慮到其資產負債表中的負債相對於現金的比例,我們認爲公司沒有債務不明智。坦率地說,我們認爲資產負債表還遠未達到健康狀態,儘管隨着時間的推移,情況會有所改善。從好的方面來看,我們注意到過去12個月的EBIT比自由現金流的4400萬人民幣和利潤的2900萬人民幣都要差。因此我們可以說,還有希望將事情糾正過來。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要重點關注的領域,但最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表範疇的風險。例如,我們已經發現了瀋陽機牀的兩個警告信號(其中一個讓我們有點不舒服),您應該注意。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

說到底,有時更容易關注那些甚至不需要債務的公司。讀者可以免費查看零淨債務增長股票列表,立即獲得。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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