Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think China Nuclear Engineering (SHSE:601611) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on China Nuclear Engineering is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.056 = CN¥4.7b ÷ (CN¥219b - CN¥134b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).
Thus, China Nuclear Engineering has an ROCE of 5.6%. In absolute terms, that's a low return but it's around the Construction industry average of 6.5%.
![roce](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20240601/0-6cb93c4bd5a502a6274c231ea0d60360-0-437a016aa8c6c8f0e1f71aceb96a63f0.png/big)
Above you can see how the current ROCE for China Nuclear Engineering compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering China Nuclear Engineering for free.
How Are Returns Trending?
In terms of China Nuclear Engineering's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 5.6% from 8.9% five years ago. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
On a related note, China Nuclear Engineering has decreased its current liabilities to 61% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money. Keep in mind 61% is still pretty high, so those risks are still somewhat prevalent.
The Bottom Line On China Nuclear Engineering's ROCE
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by China Nuclear Engineering's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. And investors may be recognizing these trends since the stock has only returned a total of 7.3% to shareholders over the last five years. Therefore, if you're looking for a multi-bagger, we'd propose looking at other options.
Since virtually every company faces some risks, it's worth knowing what they are, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for China Nuclear Engineering (of which 1 is significant!) that you should know about.
While China Nuclear Engineering isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.