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Is Huafu Fashion (SZSE:002042) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

Is Huafu Fashion (SZSE:002042) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

华富时尚(深交所:002042)是否受到债务负担的压力?
Simply Wall St ·  05/31 19:59

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Huafu Fashion Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002042) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

传奇基金经理陆杉(受查理·芒格支持)曾说:“最大的投资风险不是价格波动,而是资本是否永久损失。”我们在考虑一家公司的风险时,总是喜欢看看它的债务使用情况,因为债务超载可能导致灾难。我们注意到,华孚时尚股份有限公司(SZSE:002042)确实在其资产负债表上负债。但这些债务是否令股东担忧呢?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什么时候负债才是一个问题?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但如果企业不能偿还债权人的债务,那么它就要任凭债权人摆布。最终,如果公司无法履行法定义务偿还债务,股东可能什么也得不到。然而,更频繁但仍然代价昂贵的情况是,公司必须以白菜价格发行股票以永久稀释股东,以支持其资产负债表。通过替代稀释,债务可以成为企业的一种极好工具,特别是那些需要大量资本投资高回报的企业。当我们考虑企业使用债务的时候,我们首先要看现金和债务。

How Much Debt Does Huafu Fashion Carry?

华孚时尚承担了多少债务?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Huafu Fashion had CN¥8.70b of debt, up from CN¥8.16b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN¥2.81b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥5.90b.

正如下图所示,在2024年3月底,华孚时尚的债务总额为87亿元人民币,比一年前的81.6亿元人民币增加了。点击图片了解更多细节。然而,它确实有28.1亿元人民币的现金抵消这些负债,导致净负债约为59亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002042 Debt to Equity History May 31st 2024
SZSE:002042 权益负债比历史数据 2024 年 5 月 31 日

A Look At Huafu Fashion's Liabilities

了解华孚时尚的负债情况

According to the last reported balance sheet, Huafu Fashion had liabilities of CN¥10.2b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.13b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥2.81b in cash and CN¥1.60b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥6.93b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

根据最近披露的资产负债表,华孚时尚在12个月内有102亿元人民币的负债,以及11.3亿元人民币的负债到期时间超过12个月。抵销这些的是,它有28.1亿元人民币的现金和16亿元人民币的应收账款需要在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额超过现金和短期应收账款约69.3亿元人民币。

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of CN¥6.81b, we think shareholders really should watch Huafu Fashion's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Huafu Fashion's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

考虑到这个赤字真正高于公司市值68.1亿元人民币,我们认为股东们确实应该像父母第一次看孩子骑自行车一样关注华孚时尚的债务水平。假设公司被迫以当前股价筹集资本来偿还其负债,将需要极大程度的股权稀释。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,未来的收入,比任何其他因素都将决定华孚时尚维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你关注未来,可以查看这份免费报告,展示分析师的利润预测。

In the last year Huafu Fashion had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 12%, to CN¥13b. We would much prefer see growth.

在过去的一年里,华孚时尚税息前亏损,并实际上将其营业收入缩减了12%,至130亿元人民币。我们更希望看到增长。

Caveat Emptor

买方自负。

Not only did Huafu Fashion's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost CN¥64m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it had negative free cash flow of CN¥447m over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Huafu Fashion (of which 1 is concerning!) you should know about.

华孚时尚不仅在过去的十二个月中收入下滑,而且在息税前利润(EBIT)上也出现了负数业绩。事实上,它在EBIT水平上亏损了6400万元人民币。同时考虑到上述负债,这使我们对公司感到担忧。它需要迅速改善其运营,以吸引我们的兴趣。这还不仅因为它在过去的十二个月中自由现金流为负44700万元人民币。所以可以说我们认为这支股票是有风险的。了解负债方面,资产负债表确实提供了很多信息。但是,并不是所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中——远非如此。这些风险可能很难发现。每个公司都有它们,我们已经发现了华孚时尚的三个警示标志(其中一个令人担忧!)你应该知道。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果您在所有这些工作之后,更感兴趣于拥有坚实资产负债表的快速发展公司,请立即查看我们的净现金成长股列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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