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Is Suzhou Longway Eletronic Machinery (SZSE:301202) A Risky Investment?

Is Suzhou Longway Eletronic Machinery (SZSE:301202) A Risky Investment?

苏州朗威电子机械(深圳证券交易所代码:301202)是风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  06/01 20:25

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Suzhou Longway Eletronic Machinery Co., Ltd (SZSE:301202) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

作为投资者,有人认为波动性而非债务是思考风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过“波动性远非风险的代名词。” 当我们思考一家公司的风险级别时,我们总是会看它的负债使用情况,因为过度债务可以导致破产。和其他许多公司一样,苏州开多电子机械股份有限公司(SZSE:301202)也使用了债务。 但这个债务是否让股东们担忧呢?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般来说,只有当公司无法轻松偿还其债务时,即无法通过筹集资金或利用自有现金流来偿还债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。与资本主义的本质相符的是,“创造性毁灭”这个过程,在这个过程中,失败的企业遭到银行家的无情清算。然而,更频繁(但仍然耗资巨大)的情况是,公司必须以极低的价格发行股票,永久地稀释股东,以弥补其资产负债表。当然,许多公司使用债务来资助其成长,而没有任何负面影响。考虑到企业使用的债务量,首要的是要查看其现金和债务综合情况。

What Is Suzhou Longway Eletronic Machinery's Debt?

苏州开多电子机械的债务情况如何?

As you can see below, Suzhou Longway Eletronic Machinery had CN¥98.8m of debt at March 2024, down from CN¥265.2m a year prior. However, it does have CN¥69.8m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥29.0m.

正如下面所示,截至2024年3月,苏州开多电子机械的债务总额为9880万元人民币,较去年同期的2.652亿元人民币有所减少。然而,它有6980万元人民币的现金来抵消这个数字,导致净债务约为2900万元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:301202 Debt to Equity History June 2nd 2024
SZSE:301202的历史债权与股权比率(Debt to Equity Ratio)至2024年6月2日

How Strong Is Suzhou Longway Eletronic Machinery's Balance Sheet?

我们可以从最近的资产负债表中看出,苏州开多电子机械有CN¥3,2130万的负债将于一年内到期,有CN¥2050万的负债将于一年后到期。对冲这些,它有CN¥6980万的现金和CN¥2,6800万的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它的总负债仅与其短期流动资产相当。

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Suzhou Longway Eletronic Machinery had liabilities of CN¥321.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥20.5m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥69.8m in cash and CN¥268.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its total liabilities are just about perfectly matched by its shorter-term, liquid assets.

考虑到苏州开多电子机械的规模,其流动资产与总负债是非常平衡的。因此,这家上市公司价值约43.4亿元人民币很不可能缺乏现金,但仍值得密切关注其资产负债表。几乎没有净债务的苏州开多电子机械的负债负载非常轻。

Having regard to Suzhou Longway Eletronic Machinery's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥4.34b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Carrying virtually no net debt, Suzhou Longway Eletronic Machinery has a very light debt load indeed.

苏州开多电子机械的净债务与清偿债务前利润(EBITDA)的比率仅为0.27。而它的息税前利润(EBIT)覆盖其利息支出高达891倍。所以我们对它受限的负债使用非常放松。此外,我们还热心地指出,苏州开多电子机械去年的EBIT增长了11%,这使得其负债负担更容易处理。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显然的起点。但是,你无法将债务孤立地看待;因为苏州开多电子机械将需要收益来还债务。因此,如果你渴望了解更多关于其盈利能力的信息,查看它的长期盈利趋势图或许是值得的。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

为了对公司的债务相对于其收益进行规模适应,我们计算其净债务与利息、税、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA)之比及其税前收益(EBIT)与利息支出之比(利息保障倍数)。因此,我们既考虑到不包括折旧和摊销费用在内的收益,又包括折旧和摊销费用的收益相对于债务。

Suzhou Longway Eletronic Machinery has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.27. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 891 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. And we also note warmly that Suzhou Longway Eletronic Machinery grew its EBIT by 11% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Suzhou Longway Eletronic Machinery will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

但是我们的最后考量也很重要,因为公司不能通过纸质利润来偿还债务;它需要的是冷硬的现金。因此,检查有多少EBIt由自由现金流支持是值得的。在过去的三年中,苏州开多电子机械的自由现金流额占其EBIt的42%,低于我们的预期。这种较差的现金转化率使其更难以处理债务。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last three years, Suzhou Longway Eletronic Machinery's free cash flow amounted to 42% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

苏州开多电子机械的利息覆盖倍数表明它可以轻松处理其债务,就像克里斯蒂亚诺·罗纳尔多可以轻松打进一个低于14岁门将的进球一样。而且好消息并不止于此,因为它的净债务至清偿债务前利润(EBITDA)也支持了这一印象!当我们考虑以上因素的范围时,看起来苏州开多电子机械在债务使用方面相当明智。这意味着他们正在承担更多风险,以期提高股东回报。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显然的起点。但是,最终,每个公司都会存在超出资产负债表范围的风险。例如- 苏州开多电子机械存在2个警示标志,我们认为你应该意识到这一点。

Our View

我们的观点

Suzhou Longway Eletronic Machinery's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And the good news does not stop there, as its net debt to EBITDA also supports that impression! When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Suzhou Longway Eletronic Machinery is pretty sensible with its use of debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Suzhou Longway Eletronic Machinery has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

最后,苏州开多电子机械的兴趣覆盖倍数表明它和克里斯蒂亚诺·罗纳尔多一样轻松处理债务问题。而且,好消息并不止于此,因为它的净债务至清偿债务前利润(EBITDA)也支持了这一印象!在考虑以上因素范围时,苏州开多电子机械在使用债务方面看起来相当稳健。这意味着他们正在承担更多风险,以期提高股东回报。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显然的起点。但是,每个公司都可能存在超出资产负债表的风险。例如-苏州开多电子机械存在2个警示标志,我们认为你应该意识到这一点。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

说到底,有时候更容易集中精力关注根本不需要债务的公司。读者可以免费访问零净债务增长股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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