Is Shenzhen VAPEL Power Supply Technology (SZSE:301516) A Risky Investment?
Is Shenzhen VAPEL Power Supply Technology (SZSE:301516) A Risky Investment?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Shenzhen VAPEL Power Supply Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301516) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
傳奇基金經理陸杉(Charlie Munger 的支持者)曾說:“最大的投資風險不在於價格波動,而在於你是否將永久性地失去資本。”因此,聰明的投資者曉得,常在破產中出現的債務是公司風險評估中的重要因素。我們可以看到,深圳市華測電源技術股份有限公司(SZSE:301516)的業務確實涉及債務。但這債務是否會影響股東呢?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什麼時候負債才是一個問題?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
當一家公司不能通過自由現金流或以有吸引力的價格籌資來輕鬆地履行債務時,債務和其他負債就對其構成風險了。資本主義的一部分是無情地摧毀失敗的企業,但更常見(但仍然代價非常高昂的)情況是企業不得不以極低的價格發行股票,從而永久性地稀釋股東,並支撐其資產負債表。當然,債務可以成爲企業的一項重要工具,特別是那些資本重的企業。在審查債務水平時,我們首先考慮現金和債務水平兩個因素。
What Is Shenzhen VAPEL Power Supply Technology's Net Debt?
深圳市華測電源技術的淨債務是多少?
As you can see below, Shenzhen VAPEL Power Supply Technology had CN¥64.7m of debt at March 2024, down from CN¥228.1m a year prior. But it also has CN¥296.0m in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥231.4m net cash.
如下面所示,2024年3月深圳市華測電源技術的債務爲6470萬人民幣,比一年前的22810萬人民幣下降。但同時有29600萬人民幣的現金可抵消,這意味着它有23140萬人民幣的淨現金。

How Healthy Is Shenzhen VAPEL Power Supply Technology's Balance Sheet?
深圳市華測電源技術的資產負債表狀況如何?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Shenzhen VAPEL Power Supply Technology had liabilities of CN¥364.9m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥10.2m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥296.0m as well as receivables valued at CN¥282.0m due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥202.8m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
根據最新公佈的資產負債表,深圳市華測電源技術有36490萬人民幣的到期債務(在12個月內),以及1020萬人民幣的逾期債務(超過12個月)。與此相對,它有29600萬人民幣的現金,並有28200萬人民幣的應收賬款(在12個月內到期)。這意味着實際上它有20280萬人民幣。 比總負債還多出了更多的流動資產。
This surplus suggests that Shenzhen VAPEL Power Supply Technology has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Shenzhen VAPEL Power Supply Technology boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
這個盈餘表明深圳市華測電源技術的資產負債表非常保守,基本上可以在不太困難的情況下消除其債務。簡而言之,深圳市華測電源技術有淨現金,並沒有很沉重的債務負擔!
It is just as well that Shenzhen VAPEL Power Supply Technology's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 60% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Shenzhen VAPEL Power Supply Technology's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
很幸運深圳市華測電源技術的負債並不太重,因爲它的EBIt在過去一年中下降了60%。萎縮的盈利(如果這一趨勢持續下去)可能會使即使是低額的債務也相當冒險。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的開始。但深圳市華測電源技術的盈利情況將影響未來資產負債表的維持情況。因此,在考慮債務時,考慮收益趨勢肯定是值得的。 點擊此處進行交互快照。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Shenzhen VAPEL Power Supply Technology has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Shenzhen VAPEL Power Supply Technology produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 66% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
但我們最終的考慮也很重要,因爲一家公司無法用紙面利潤來付債務,它需要極力獲得實際現金。雖然深圳市華測電源技術在其資產負債表中有淨現金,但仍要查看其將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解它正在多快地建立(或侵蝕)現金存款。在過去三年中,深圳市華測電源技術產生了強有力的自由現金流,相當於其EBIt的66%,大致符合我們的預期。這條自由現金流的道路使公司有能力在適當時償還債務。
Summing Up
總之
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Shenzhen VAPEL Power Supply Technology has net cash of CN¥231.4m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥114m, being 66% of its EBIT. So we don't have any problem with Shenzhen VAPEL Power Supply Technology's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Shenzhen VAPEL Power Supply Technology is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those don't sit too well with us...
雖然我們理解認爲債務令人擔憂的投資者,但您應該記住,深圳市華測電源技術有CN¥ 23140萬的淨現金,而且其流動性資產超過其負債。我們對深圳市華測電源技術的自由現金流印象深刻,該公司自由現金流爲CN¥ 11400萬,相當於其EBIt的66%。因此,我們對深圳市華測電源技術使用債務沒有任何問題。毫無疑問,從資產負債表中了解債務最爲關鍵,但是,每個企業都可能存在負債表外的風險。請注意,在我們的投資分析中,深圳市華測電源技術顯示了五個警告信號,其中兩個不太讓人滿意。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或電郵 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。