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These 4 Measures Indicate That OneWater Marine (NASDAQ:ONEW) Is Using Debt In A Risky Way

These 4 Measures Indicate That OneWater Marine (NASDAQ:ONEW) Is Using Debt In A Risky Way

这4项措施表明,onewater marine (纳斯达克:ONEW)正在以冒险的方式使用债务。
Simply Wall St ·  06/05 10:45

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies OneWater Marine Inc. (NASDAQ:ONEW) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

大卫·伊本说得好,他说:“波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。”因此,当你评估公司的风险时,看来聪明的货币知道债务(通常涉及破产)是一个非常重要的因素。与许多其他公司一样,OneWater Marine Inc.(纳斯达克股票代码:ONEW)也使用债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司面临风险。

When Is Debt A Problem?

债务何时会成为问题?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能会一无所获。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司为了控制债务,必须以低廉的股价稀释股东。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理债务,而且对自己有利。当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。

How Much Debt Does OneWater Marine Carry?

OneWater Marine 背负了多少债务?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 OneWater Marine had debt of US$999.0m, up from US$948.6m in one year. On the flip side, it has US$47.0m in cash leading to net debt of about US$952.0m.

您可以点击下图查看更多详情,该图片显示,截至2024年3月,OneWater Marine的债务为9.990亿美元,高于一年的9.486亿美元。另一方面,它拥有4,700万美元的现金,净负债约为9.52亿美元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGM:ONEW Debt to Equity History June 5th 2024
NasdaqGM: ONEW 债权与股本比率的历史记录 2024 年 6 月 5 日

How Healthy Is OneWater Marine's Balance Sheet?

OneWater Marine 的资产负债表有多健康?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that OneWater Marine had liabilities of US$750.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$580.0m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$47.0m as well as receivables valued at US$114.4m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$1.17b.

放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,OneWater Marine在12个月内到期的负债为7.501亿美元,之后到期的负债为5.80亿美元。除这些债务外,它有4,700万美元的现金以及价值1.144亿美元的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,其负债超过其现金和(短期)应收账款总额11.7亿美元。

This deficit casts a shadow over the US$485.3m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, OneWater Marine would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

这笔赤字给这家4.853亿美元的公司蒙上了阴影,就像一个耸立在凡人之上的巨人。因此,毫无疑问,我们将密切关注其资产负债表。毕竟,如果OneWater Marine今天必须向债权人付款,则可能需要进行大规模的资本重组。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

为了扩大公司相对于收益的负债规模,我们计算其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),将其利息和税前收益(EBIT)除以利息支出(利息保障)。这样,我们既考虑债务的绝对数量,也考虑为债务支付的利率。

Weak interest cover of 1.8 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.5 hit our confidence in OneWater Marine like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Worse, OneWater Marine's EBIT was down 41% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if OneWater Marine can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

1.8倍的薄弱利息覆盖率和令人不安的高净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润的比率6.5打击了我们对OneWater Marine的信心,就像是一二的冲击。这意味着我们会认为它有沉重的债务负担。更糟糕的是,OneWater Marine的息税前利润比去年下降了41%。如果收益长期保持这样的水平,那么偿还债务的可能性很小。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但最终,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定OneWater Marine能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, OneWater Marine saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

但是我们最终的考虑因素也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。因此,我们总是检查息税前利润中有多少转化为自由现金流。在过去的三年中,OneWater Marine的自由现金流总额为负数。尽管投资者无疑预计这种情况将在适当的时候逆转,但这显然意味着其使用债务的风险更大。

Our View

我们的观点

To be frank both OneWater Marine's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And even its net debt to EBITDA fails to inspire much confidence. It looks to us like OneWater Marine carries a significant balance sheet burden. If you play with fire you risk getting burnt, so we'd probably give this stock a wide berth. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for OneWater Marine that you should be aware of.

坦率地说,OneWater Marine的息税前利润增长率及其保持总负债水平的往绩都使我们对其债务水平感到相当不舒服。而且,即使是其净负债占息税折旧摊销前利润的比例也未能激发人们的信心。在我们看来,OneWater Marine承受着沉重的资产负担。如果你开枪就有可能被烧死,所以我们可能会给这只股票一个广阔的余地。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。例如,我们已经确定了OneWater Marine的1个警告标志,你应该注意这一点。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

毕竟,如果你对一家资产负债表坚如磐石的快速成长型公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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