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Are CITIC Heavy Industries Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:601608) Fundamentals Good Enough to Warrant Buying Given The Stock's Recent Weakness?

Are CITIC Heavy Industries Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:601608) Fundamentals Good Enough to Warrant Buying Given The Stock's Recent Weakness?

考慮到該股近期疲軟,中信重工股份有限公司(SHSE:601608)的基本面足夠好嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  06/06 18:42

It is hard to get excited after looking at CITIC Heavy Industries' (SHSE:601608) recent performance, when its stock has declined 10% over the past month. But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. Specifically, we decided to study CITIC Heavy Industries' ROE in this article.

當看到中信重工(SHSE:601608)近一個月的股價下跌了10%後,我們難以興奮。但是,如果您仔細觀察,可能會發現其關鍵的財務指標看起來相當不錯,這可能意味着在長期內,該股票有潛力上漲,因爲市場通常會獎勵具有更彈性的長期基本面。具體而言,我們決定在本文中研究中信重工的roe。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

股東權益回報率(ROE)是測試公司如何有效地增加其價值並管理投資者資金的指標。簡而言之,它用於評估公司相對於股本資本的盈利能力。

How Is ROE Calculated?

淨資產收益率怎麼計算?

The formula for return on equity is:

權益回報率的計算公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for CITIC Heavy Industries is:

因此,根據上述公式,中信重工的roe爲:

4.8% = CN¥398m ÷ CN¥8.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

4.8%=CN¥398m ÷ CN¥8.3b(基於截至2024年3月的過去12個月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.05 in profit.

“回報”是業務在過去一年內實現的收入。這意味着,對於每個CN¥1股東權益,公司的利潤爲CN¥0.05。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE對於盈利增長的重要性是什麼?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

我們已經確定ROE作爲公司未來收益的有效利潤生成度量。根據公司“保留”多少利潤以及它如何有效地保留利潤,我們能夠評估公司的收益增長潛力。假設其他所有條件相同,具有更高股東權益回報率和更高利潤保留的公司通常是與沒有相同特徵的公司相比增長速度更高的公司。

A Side By Side comparison of CITIC Heavy Industries' Earnings Growth And 4.8% ROE

中信重工盈利增長和4.8%roe的並列比較

It is quite clear that CITIC Heavy Industries' ROE is rather low. Even when compared to the industry average of 6.8%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. However, the moderate 15% net income growth seen by CITIC Heavy Industries over the past five years is definitely a positive. We believe that there might be other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

很明顯,中信重工的roe相當低。即使與行業平均值6.8%相比,roe也相當令人失望。但是,中信重工在過去五年中實現的適度的淨利潤增長達到了15%,絕對是個積極的因素。我們認爲可能還有其他方面正在積極影響該公司的盈利增長。例如,公司的管理層可能已做出了一些良好的戰略決策,或者公司的派息比率較低。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that CITIC Heavy Industries' growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 9.4% in the same period, which is great to see.

接下來,與行業淨利潤增長相比,我們發現中信重工的增長與同期行業平均增長率爲9.4%相比相當高,這非常好。

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:601608 Past Earnings Growth June 6th 2024
SHSE:601608過去的盈利增長2024年6月6日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Has the market priced in the future outlook for 601608? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report

盈利增長是股票估值的一個重要因素。投資者應該嘗試確定預期的盈利增長或下降(無論哪種情況)是否定價。這樣做將有助於他們確定股票的未來前景是否有前途或不祥。市場是否爲601608的未來前景定價?您可以在我們最新的內在價值信息圖研究報告中找到答案。

Is CITIC Heavy Industries Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

中信重工是否有效地利用其利潤?

CITIC Heavy Industries has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 32% (or a retention ratio of 68%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.

中信重工的三年中位數派息比率爲32%(或保留率爲68%),並且如上所述,公司的盈利增長相當可觀,這意味着該公司一直在有效地利用其利潤。

Moreover, CITIC Heavy Industries is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years.

此外,我們從中信重工連續十年支付股息的長期歷史推斷出,該公司決心繼續與股東分享利潤。

Conclusion

結論

On the whole, we do feel that CITIC Heavy Industries has some positive attributes. Despite its low rate of return, the fact that the company reinvests a very high portion of its profits into its business, no doubt contributed to its high earnings growth. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. You can see the 2 risks we have identified for CITIC Heavy Industries by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

總的來說,我們認爲中信重工具有一些積極因素。儘管其收益率較低,但事實是公司將其利潤的很高一部分再投資於業務中,這無疑促成了其高的盈利增長。雖然我們不會完全拒絕該公司,但我們將嘗試確定該業務的風險程度,以便作出更明智的決策。您可以在我們的風險儀表板免費在我們的平台上。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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