Is Epoxy Base Electronic Material (SHSE:603002) A Risky Investment?
Is Epoxy Base Electronic Material (SHSE:603002) A Risky Investment?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Epoxy Base Electronic Material Corporation Limited (SHSE:603002) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
作爲投資者,有些人認爲波動性而不是債務是考慮風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾經說過:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”當您檢查一家公司的風險時,考慮其資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業破產時常常涉及債務。我們注意到宏昌電子股份有限公司(SHSE:603002)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但真正的問題是,這些債務是否使公司變得風險?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什麼時候負債才是一個問題?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
通常情況下,只有當公司無法通過籌措資本或使用自己的現金流輕鬆償還債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。如果情況變得非常糟糕,放貸人可以控制企業。雖然這種情況不太常見,但我們經常看到身負債務的公司因爲放貸人迫使他們以不佳的價格籌集資金而永久稀釋股東的利益。當然,債務可以成爲企業的重要工具,尤其是資本密集型企業。考慮一家公司的債務水平時的第一步是將其現金和債務合並考慮。
What Is Epoxy Base Electronic Material's Net Debt?
宏昌電子的淨債務是多少?
As you can see below, Epoxy Base Electronic Material had CN¥178.0m of debt at March 2024, down from CN¥226.2m a year prior. However, it does have CN¥1.88b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥1.70b.
如下所示,在2024年3月,宏昌電子的債務爲1.78億元人民幣,較去年同期的2.262億元人民幣有所下降。然而,它確實有18.8億元人民幣的現金抵消,導致淨現金爲17億元人民幣。

How Strong Is Epoxy Base Electronic Material's Balance Sheet?
宏昌電子的資產負債表如何?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Epoxy Base Electronic Material had liabilities of CN¥939.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥144.4m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.88b and CN¥1.01b worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥1.80b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
我們可以看到最近的資產負債表顯示,宏昌電子短期內到期的負債爲9390萬元,超過一年到期的負債爲1,444萬元。另一方面,它有18.8億元人民幣的現金和1010萬元人民幣的應收款項短期內到期。所以它實際上有18億元人民幣的自由現金流。比總負債還多出了更多的流動資產。
This luscious liquidity implies that Epoxy Base Electronic Material's balance sheet is sturdy like a giant sequoia tree. Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox. Succinctly put, Epoxy Base Electronic Material boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
這種豐沛的流動性意味着宏昌電子的資產負債表像一棵大紅杉樹一樣堅固。考慮到這個事實,我們認爲它的資產負債表像一頭公牛一樣強壯。簡而言之,宏昌電子擁有淨現金,因此可以說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!
In fact Epoxy Base Electronic Material's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 37% in the last twelve months. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Epoxy Base Electronic Material's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
事實上,宏昌電子的生命線是它低的債務水平,因爲它的息稅前利潤在過去十二個月中下跌了37%。當公司看到其收益下降時,有時會發現與放貸人的關係變得惡劣。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的大部分知識。然而,最終決定宏昌電子是否能夠保持健康的資產負債表的是未來的收益,而不是其他因素。因此,如果您想了解專業人士的想法,則可能會發現分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Epoxy Base Electronic Material may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, Epoxy Base Electronic Material recorded free cash flow of 24% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤並不能解決這個問題。宏昌電子雖然在資產負債表上有淨現金,但看看企業如何將其息稅前利潤轉化爲自由現金流是仍然很有趣的,因爲這將影響到它所需的管理債務的能力。查看最近三年,宏昌電子記錄下了其EBIT的24%的自由現金流,這比我們預期的要弱。當涉及償還債務時,這樣並不好。
Summing Up
總之
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Epoxy Base Electronic Material has CN¥1.70b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we are not troubled with Epoxy Base Electronic Material's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Epoxy Base Electronic Material you should know about.
雖然調查公司債務始終是明智的,但在這種情況下,宏昌電子擁有17億元人民幣的淨現金和一張看起來不錯的資產負債表。因此我們對宏昌電子的債務使用並不擔憂。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的大部分知識,但並不是所有的投資風險都駐留在資產負債表上,這些風險很難發現。每個公司都有這些風險,我們已經發現宏昌電子有4個警示標誌,您應該知道。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
說到底,有時更容易關注那些甚至不需要債務的公司。讀者可以免費查看零淨債務增長股票列表,立即獲得。
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