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Here's Why Tianjin Tianyao Pharmaceuticals (SHSE:600488) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Here's Why Tianjin Tianyao Pharmaceuticals (SHSE:600488) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

为什么津药药业(SHSE:600488)能够负债合理地管理
Simply Wall St ·  06/06 21:25

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Tianjin Tianyao Pharmaceuticals Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600488) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

传奇基金经理李录(获查理·芒格支持)曾说,“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动性,而是你是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。”因此,看起来智慧的钱知道债务——通常涉及破产的——是评估公司风险性的非常重要的因素之一。与许多其他公司一样,天津津药药业股份有限公司(SHSE:600488)采用了债务。但真正的问题是,这笔债务是否使公司变得更具风险。

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时有危险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但如果一家企业无法偿还债权人,那么它就存在于债权人的掌控之下。在最坏的情况下,如果无法偿还债权人,公司可能会破产。然而,更频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,一家公司必须以微不足道的价格发行股票,永久性地稀释股东的权益,以支撑其资产负债表。当然,债务可以是企业中的重要工具,特别是在资本密集型企业中。当我们研究债务水平时,首先考虑现金和债务水平。

What Is Tianjin Tianyao Pharmaceuticals's Net Debt?

津药药业的净债务是多少?

As you can see below, Tianjin Tianyao Pharmaceuticals had CN¥922.3m of debt at March 2024, down from CN¥1.28b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥721.0m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥201.4m.

正如你在下面看到的那样,天津津药药业股份有限公司在2024年3月的债务为9.223亿元人民币,比去年同期的12.8亿元人民币要少。然而,由于其现金储备为7.21亿元人民币,因此其净债务较少,约为2.014亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600488 Debt to Equity History June 7th 2024
SHSE:600488的资产负债历史6月7日

A Look At Tianjin Tianyao Pharmaceuticals' Liabilities

看一下天津津药药业的负债情况

According to the last reported balance sheet, Tianjin Tianyao Pharmaceuticals had liabilities of CN¥1.83b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥465.5m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥721.0m and CN¥625.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥948.6m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

根据最近公布的资产负债表,天津津药药业有18.3亿元人民币的负债到期,12个月内到期,465.5万元人民币的负债超过12个月到期。另一方面,它有7.21亿元人民币的现金和6.253亿元人民币的应收账款到期一年内。所以其负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的组合多948.6万元人民币。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Tianjin Tianyao Pharmaceuticals has a market capitalization of CN¥3.95b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

虽然这可能看起来很多,但并不算太糟,因为天津津药药业股份有限公司的市值为39.5亿元人民币,所以如果必要,它可以通过募集资本来增强资产负债表。但显然,我们应该仔细审查它是否能够在不稀释股权的情况下管理其债务。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

卡比海运的净债务为1.7倍EBITDA,这表明它很好地利用了债务。 同时,EBIT利息覆盖(7.3倍)也证明卡比海运的利润完全足以支付管理费和计息费。此外,卡比海运过去12个月EBIT增长了64%,这种增长将使其更容易处理其债务。通过财务报表,我们确信该公司对债务的运用是明智的。然而,确保公司未来的盈利能力才是最终关键,这将决定卡比海运能否逐渐加强其资产负债表。此外,自由现金流还将帮助我们检查公司的出现的任何偏离预期的现金流。

While Tianjin Tianyao Pharmaceuticals's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.49 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 6.5 times last year does give us pause. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Tianjin Tianyao Pharmaceuticals if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 47% cut to EBIT over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Tianjin Tianyao Pharmaceuticals will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

虽然天津津药药业股份有限公司较低的债务与息税折旧及摊销前利润比率为0.49表明只有适度使用债务,但去年仅以6.5倍的利润覆盖了利息支出的事实确实令我们产生了顾虑。因此,我们建议密切关注融资成本对业务的影响。如果公司看到其收入暴跌,有时它会发现自己与贷款人的关系变得不太好。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是开始的明显地方。但是,你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为天津津药药业需要收入来偿还那些债务。因此,如果您有兴趣了解更多关于其收益的信息,可能值得查看这个长期收益趋势图。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Tianjin Tianyao Pharmaceuticals actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

但是我们的最终考虑也很重要,因为公司无法用虚假的利润支付债务;它需要冷硬的现金。所以逻辑上的步骤是查看与实际自由现金流相匹配的EBIT的比例。在过去的三年中,天津津药药业股份有限公司实际上产生的自由现金流比EBIT还要多。这种强劲的现金流量生产使我们的心脏变得像穿蜜蜂衣服的小狗一样温暖。

Our View

我们的观点

Based on what we've seen Tianjin Tianyao Pharmaceuticals is not finding it easy, given its EBIT growth rate, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. There's no doubt that its ability to to convert EBIT to free cash flow is pretty flash. Considering this range of data points, we think Tianjin Tianyao Pharmaceuticals is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Tianjin Tianyao Pharmaceuticals is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable...

根据我们的观察,基于其EBIT增长率,天津津药药业并不容易,但我们考虑的其他因素让我们有理由持乐观态度。毫无疑问,其将EBIT转化为自由现金流的能力非常出色。考虑到这些数据点,我们认为天津津药药业股份有限公司处于良好的债务水平管理位置。但要小心一点:我们认为债务水平足以证明持续监控的必要性。资产负债表显然是分析债务时的焦点。但最终,每个公司都可能包含超出资产负债表范围的风险。请注意,天津津药药业在我们的投资分析中显示出2个警告信号,其中1个使我们有点不舒服......

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

说到底,有时更容易关注那些甚至不需要债务的公司。读者可以免费查看零净债务增长股票列表,立即获得。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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