If you buy and hold a stock for many years, you'd hope to be making a profit. But more than that, you probably want to see it rise more than the market average. Unfortunately for shareholders, while the Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. (NYSE:AMG) share price is up 74% in the last five years, that's less than the market return. Over the last twelve months the stock price has risen a very respectable 5.6%.
Now it's worth having a look at the company's fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
During the five years of share price growth, Affiliated Managers Group moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we'd hope to see the share price to rise. Given that the company made a profit three years ago, but not five years ago, it is worth looking at the share price returns over the last three years, too. We can see that the Affiliated Managers Group share price is down 2.0% in the last three years. In the same period, EPS is up 38% per year. It would appear there's a real mismatch between the increasing EPS and the share price, which has declined -0.7% a year for three years.
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
![earnings-per-share-growth](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20240607/0-d5ff9e66f8d4d077e310d6fbd3086b9d-0-b25143807a9a967d095f68402937c624.png/big)
We know that Affiliated Managers Group has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? Take a more thorough look at Affiliated Managers Group's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.
What About Dividends?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Affiliated Managers Group the TSR over the last 5 years was 77%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
A Different Perspective
Affiliated Managers Group shareholders are up 5.6% for the year (even including dividends). But that return falls short of the market. It's probably a good sign that the company has an even better long term track record, having provided shareholders with an annual TSR of 12% over five years. Maybe the share price is just taking a breather while the business executes on its growth strategy. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Affiliated Managers Group better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - Affiliated Managers Group has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.
But note: Affiliated Managers Group may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.