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Here's Why Mesnac (SZSE:002073) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Here's Why Mesnac (SZSE:002073) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

以下是爲什麼美思納(SZSE:002073)可以負責任地管理其債務的原因。
Simply Wall St ·  06/09 22:50

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Mesnac Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002073) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

李錄(Charlie Munger 支持的基金經理)曾經說過:「最大的投資風險不在於價格的波動,而在於是否會蒙受永久性的資本損失。」 當我們考慮到一家公司的風險時,涉及債務的風險就顯而易見,因爲當企業倒閉時,債務往往也是其中的因素。我們可以看到,麥德龍股份有限公司(SZSE: 002073)確實在業務中使用了債務。 但是,這種債務會使股東憂心嗎?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業發展的工具,但如果企業無力償還債務,那麼它只存在於債權人的嚴酷下面。資本主義的本質是「創造性毀滅」,即失敗的企業無情地被銀行家清算。然而,更爲常見(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,一家公司必須以廉價的股票價格稀釋股東,僅僅爲了控制債務。當然,債務在企業中可以是一個重要的工具,特別是在資本密集型企業中。當我們考慮一家公司對債務的使用情況時,首先看的是現金和債務合起來的情況。

What Is Mesnac's Net Debt?

麥德龍的淨債務是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Mesnac had CN¥2.27b of debt, an increase on CN¥1.74b, over one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥4.20b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.94b net cash position.

您可以點擊下面的圖表查看歷史數字,但它顯示的是截至 2024 年 3 月,麥德龍有 22.7 億元人民幣的債務,比去年的 17.4 億元人民幣有所增加。但另一方面,它也擁有 42 億元人民幣的現金,因此淨現金狀況爲 19.4 億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002073 Debt to Equity History June 10th 2024
SZSE:002073 債務與股本歷史記錄 2024 年 6 月 10 日

How Strong Is Mesnac's Balance Sheet?

我們可以從最近的資產負債表看到,麥德龍有 98.5 億元人民幣的短期到期負債,以及 11.5 億元人民幣的長期到期負債。與此同時,它有 42 億元人民幣的現金,以及價值 21.7 億元人民幣的應收賬款,短期內到期。因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款合計多出 46.3 億元人民幣。這是與其市場總值 75.2 億元人民幣相比非常高的槓桿率。如果債權人要求其加強資產負債表,股東可能面臨嚴重的稀釋。雖然它確實存在着一些值得注意的負債,但是麥德龍擁有的現金比負債多,因此我們非常有信心它可以安全地管理其債務。

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Mesnac had liabilities of CN¥9.85b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.15b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥4.20b as well as receivables valued at CN¥2.17b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥4.63b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

此外,我們很高興地報告說,麥德龍已經將其 EBIT 增長了 46%,從而減少了未來債務償還的風險。分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是麥德龍的盈利將影響資產負債表在未來的保持情況。因此,如果您想了解更多關於其盈利的信息,可以查看其長期盈利趨勢圖表。

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CN¥7.52b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Mesnac also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

最後,雖然稅務機關可能熱愛會計利潤,但債權人只接受冰冷的現金。麥德龍可能在負債表中擁有淨現金,但審查企業將其息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力也同樣重要,因爲這將影響其管理債務的需要和能力。在過去的三年中,麥德龍總體上看到了大量的負面自由現金流。雖然這可能是爲了增長的支出,但這確實使債務更加危險。

In addition to that, we're happy to report that Mesnac has boosted its EBIT by 46%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Mesnac's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

雖然麥德龍的負債多於流動資產,但它也擁有淨現金 19.4 億元人民幣。在過去一年中,其 EBIT 增長了 46%,這也給我們留下了深刻的印象。因此,我們不擔心麥德龍的債務使用。毫無疑問,我們通過資產負債表最了解債務的情況。但是,並非所有的投資風險都在資產負債表中存在 - 遠非如此。我們已經發現了麥德龍的 2 個警示信號,理解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Mesnac may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Mesnac saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

儘管麥德龍在負債表中具有淨現金,但觀察其利用息稅前盈利(EBIT)轉換爲免費現金流的能力仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其管理債務的需要和能力。在過去三年中,麥德龍總體上看到了大量的負面自由現金流。雖然這可能是爲了增長的支出,但這確實使債務更加危險。

Summing Up

總之

While Mesnac does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥1.94b. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 46% over the last year. So we are not troubled with Mesnac's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with Mesnac , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

雖然麥德龍的負債多於流動資產,但它也擁有淨現金 19.4 億元人民幣。在過去一年中,其 EBIT 增長了 46%,這也給我們留下了深刻的印象。因此,我們不擔心麥德龍的債務使用。毫無疑問,我們通過資產負債表最了解債務的情況。但是,並非所有的投資風險都在資產負債表中存在 - 遠非如此。我們已經發現了麥德龍的 2 個警示信號,理解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

說到底,有時候更容易集中精力關注根本不需要債務的公司。讀者可以免費訪問零淨債務增長股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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