Many investors define successful investing as beating the market average over the long term. But if you try your hand at stock picking, you risk returning less than the market. We regret to report that long term Anhui Shenjian New Materials Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002361) shareholders have had that experience, with the share price dropping 33% in three years, versus a market decline of about 23%. And the share price decline continued over the last week, dropping some 11%.
With the stock having lost 11% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.
We don't think that Anhui Shenjian New MaterialsLtd's modest trailing twelve month profit has the market's full attention at the moment. We think revenue is probably a better guide. Generally speaking, we'd consider a stock like this alongside loss-making companies, simply because the quantum of the profit is so low. For shareholders to have confidence a company will grow profits significantly, it must grow revenue.
Over three years, Anhui Shenjian New MaterialsLtd grew revenue at 3.3% per year. That's not a very high growth rate considering it doesn't make profits. Indeed, the stock dropped 10% over the last three years. If revenue growth accelerates, we might see the share price bounce. But ultimately the key will be whether the company can become profitability.
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
If you are thinking of buying or selling Anhui Shenjian New MaterialsLtd stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.
What About Dividends?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Anhui Shenjian New MaterialsLtd, it has a TSR of -29% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
Anhui Shenjian New MaterialsLtd shareholders are down 12% over twelve months (even including dividends), which isn't far from the market return of -12%. So last year was actually even worse than the last five years, which cost shareholders 2% per year. It will probably take a substantial improvement in the fundamental performance for the company to reverse this trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Anhui Shenjian New MaterialsLtd better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - Anhui Shenjian New MaterialsLtd has 4 warning signs (and 2 which are concerning) we think you should know about.
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.